Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 011337
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Immokalee...Seminole Tribe Of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
937 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on June 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain over the Florida Peninsula today
allowing for an easterly wind flow over the burn site. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon over the burn
site with the primary impacts being lightning strikes. The
relative humidity should only fall down to around 50 percent this
afternoon with the dispersion readings getting up to around 80,
as the transport wind speeds gets up to around 15 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1500, then 16-25 strikes.
Mixing height.......1400-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3500-5300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph increasing to 14 to 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 76.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  45  49  53  57  62  67  72
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............79  82  85  87  89  91  92  93
RH..............88  77  67  61  56  52  51  49
20 ft wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..120 100 090 080 080 080 090 080
20 ft wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6
20 ft wind gust.5   6   8   10  10  11  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   5   7   10  12  14  14  15
Dispersion idx..6   12  25  43  62  72  80  75
LVORI...........5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  20  20  30  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 1-8 strikes
                    until 2300, then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......4200-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 18 mph becoming northeast 2 to 5 mph
                    late in the evening.
Dispersion index....73 increasing to 85 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 8 early in the evening decreasing
                    to 2 after midnight.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  79  82  76  70  64  58  51  45  46  48  49
Weather cov.....CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Temp............93  92  90  87  83  81  79  78  77  75  75  74
RH..............51  52  56  61  70  74  77  79  82  87  87  90
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
20 ft wind dir..090 110 080 100 090 090 090 080 080 070 070 060
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3
20 ft wind gust.12  12  10  8   10  10  8   8   8   8   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 4.6 4.2 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  18  17  14  9   5   2   2   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..73  85  12  9   5   3   2   1   1   1   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).50  60  50  40  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............4   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the late morning and early
                    afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the morning, then showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3400 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph increasing to 13 to 17 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 39.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........50     52     65     66     82     84
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............73     75     81     84     84     83
RH..............93     94     77     70     67     72
20 ft wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 ft wind dir..070    080    090    090    090    090
20 ft wind spd..3      5      7      8      8      8
20 ft wind gust.10     10     12     13     13     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    400    2200   3200   3400   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    E 6    E 13   E 17   E 16   E 16
Dispersion idx..2      5      29     41     40     39
LVORI...........7      6      3      3      2      3
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      20     20     70     70
LAL.............1      1      1      2      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Anthony Curella
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2007345.0/MFL



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