Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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535
FNUS72 KMFL 191533
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for ROG-West...Everglades National Park
National Weather Service Miami FL
1133 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure building south over the eastern United States will
increase NE surface winds across the area for today and Friday.
Maximum daytime dispersion will be in the very good range both days,
with highest values over interior sections, including Everglades
National Park. A slightly drier airmass will move over the
region, however relative humidity values will remain well above
critical levels. Scattered showers are expected today, with a few
thunderstorms possible by Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon, then chance of
                    showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......4900-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....77 decreasing to 60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  44  56  55  54  54
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  89  91  91  90  88
RH..............55  52  49  52  54  59
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind dir..050 060 060 060 060 060
20 ft wind spd..10  12  12  12  13  13
20 ft wind gust.14  14  16  16  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.4 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  18  18  17  18  18
Dispersion idx..77  63  61  59  56  56
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2100-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1600 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 23 mph decreasing to 7 to 12
                    mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....61 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  37  28  26  25  23  26  29  31  33  35  37
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH                 SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............86  83  81  79  78  78  77  76  75  75  74  74
RH..............63  70  72  79  79  79  82  87  90  90  93  93
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind dir..060 060 060 060 040 040 040 040 040 040 040 040
20 ft wind spd..12  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 ft wind gust.16  14  14  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.21  23  23  20  15  12  9   9   8   8   7   8
Dispersion idx..58  64  27  14  11  9   7   7   6   5   4   5
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1000, then No Tstms until 1200, then 9-15
                    strikes until 1700, then 16-25 strikes.
Mixing height.......400-1500 ft AGL increasing to 4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 18 mph increasing to east 23 to
                    28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 34 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 64 late in the morning increasing
                    to 77 late in the morning decreasing to 68.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........39     52     50     47     45     43
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC         S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC         S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............74     76     82     88     90     89
RH..............97     90     77     61     56     57
20 ft wind dir..NE     NE     E      E      E      E
20 ft wind dir..040    050    070    070    080    080
20 ft wind spd..7      7      9      12     14     14
20 ft wind gust.              12     18     19     18
MIX HGT (FT)....400    500    2500   4000   4800   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 9   NE 15  E 23   E 28   E 25   E 25
Dispersion idx..6      13     64     74     76     73
LVORI...........6      5      3      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     10     20     30     30
LAL.............1      3      1      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Fell
Requested by...Michael Gue
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1915759.0/MFL



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