Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 231011
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 29 Reedy Branch...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
511 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue over the region through
today. Another area of low pressure will impact the area
Monday through midweek. High pressure will again build
over the area for the end of next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 28289 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 38.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.20 to 30.32 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............0   0   0   0   0   2   2   1   8   22  31  29
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............30  32  36  43  48  53  56  59  60  60  60  58
RH.................85  81  72  60  54  44  40  36  35  35  36  40
20 FT wind dir.....NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd.....0   0   0   0   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust....                        5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.0
Transp wind dir....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10
LVORI..............5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI................4   4   3   3   4   9   19  25  30  35  38  31
Haines index.......4   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..1   1   1   1   2   9   13  18  22  25  28  20
Stability class....F   F   F   F   F   F   B   B   B   B   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 919 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 2.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.14 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............26  25  23  20  19  22  28  30  35  45  50  57
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............55  52  50  48  47  46  46  44  44  43  43  42
RH.................49  59  63  68  71  73  76  82  79  79  79  86
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd.....4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
Transp wind spd....9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   7   5   3
LVORI..............2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   6
ADI................4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   3   2   2
Haines index.......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..13  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   1   1
Stability class....B   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of rain showers
                    late in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    east late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 20355 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Max 18.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.05 to 30.15 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............72     82     90     95     97     97
Weather cov........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type.......NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............42     44     52     56     59     59
RH.................89     89     71     64     62     67
20 ft wind.........W 1    N 1    E 2    SW 4   SW 4   E 4
20 ft wind gust....                     5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    300    1800   2600   2800
Transport wind.....SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 7    S 7    S 2
LVORI..............6      7      3      2      2      3
ADI................2      1      2      12     14     5
Haines index.......5      4      3      3      3      3
VRate mph-ft/1000..1      1      1      12     18     6
Stability class....F      D      D      D      D      D

$$
Forecaster...Heden
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2002776.0/MHX
.DELDT 02/23/20
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov



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