Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS71 KRLX 161247
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for bartow RD Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
847 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

As a weak cold front pushes through the area today, winds will switch
from the WNW late this morning to the NW by the late afternoon. Winds
will be light this morning, but will increase later today as the front
approaches, with winds becoming 5-10 mph and gusts as high as 15 mph.
A few scattered showers will be possible with cold front,but most of the
region will remain dry. Relative humidity values will decrease this afternoon
with values dropping as low as 35 percent. In addition, temperatures will
once again be well above normal with a max temperature around 81F.

Overnight lows will fall into the upper 50s in the area tonight with winds
becoming calm.

On Tuesday, high pressure builds back in with another prolonged
period of dry and very warm conditions through the end of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light west winds becoming northwest 5 to 9 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................17 increasing to 54 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 41 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 53 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  20  16  15  14  13  18  22  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  67  71  72  74  78  80  78  75
RH..............62  51  44  42  40  37  35  37  42
20 FT wind dir..W   W  WNW  WNW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   7   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.6   7   10  10  12  13  14  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 4.9 6.9 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.2
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.6   9   12  12  9   8   9   10  12
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............17  52  54  56  44  38  44  51  55
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............5 in the evening and overnight.
ADI.................39 decreasing to 2 in the evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 3 am.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  27  27  34  40  47  47  47  48  55  63  57
Weather cov.....                                        ARS ARS
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  70  66  64  62  61  60  60  59  58  58  57
RH..............49  55  68  75  84  90  93  90  93  96  96  100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  7   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 3.2 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   6   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   6   7   8   7   8   M   M   M
ADI.............39  3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   M   M   M
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 2 mph shifting to the east 3 to 6
                    mph.
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  73  81  93  93  92  83  85  80  76  71  73
Weather cov.....ARS     SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG     RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  57  59  61  63  67  69  69  69  69  69  68
RH..............100 100 93  93  90  78  73  70  70  70  68  70
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   10  10  10  8   8   7   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...RG
Requested by...samuel Urffer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1915542.0/RLX
.DELDT 09/16/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.