Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KTWC 141155
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Outdoor concert  Tubac Resort...Tubac Fire District
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
455 AM MST Sat Sep 14 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MST on September 14.

.DISCUSSION...A weather disturbance moving north from Sonora Mexico into
Southeast Arizona today will result in showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon into this evening.

A favored area for thunderstorm development will extend from near
Tubac to the west and southwest. Although a few showers will be
possible in the late morning, thunderstorms are expected to
develop in the early afternoon...and move toward the west and
southwest during the afternoon.

Additional thunderstorm development may be possible during the
evening.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers late in the
                    morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....92 to 95 degs.
Min humidity........28 to 31 pct.
Surface Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 8 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds to 40 mph will accompany thunderstorms.
Chance of Precip....10 percent in the morning, becoming 70 percent in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky (%).........61        85        80
Weather cov.....S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          CHANCE    CHANCE
Temp............84        92        90
RH..............41        32        34
Surface wind....S 5G7     E 10G16   SE 10G16
Chc of Precip...10        50        70

$$
Forecaster...RASMUSSEN
Requested by...Darrell Miller
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 1915444.0/TWC

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