Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 261953

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
253 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018


The main concern through the forecast period will be the heat
with several high temperature records in jeopardy. The ridge over
the central US has strengthened and sharpened today helping
temperatures warm to the upper 90s to low 100s this afternoon. If
Lubbock reaches the forecast high of 103, the record of 101 set in
1945 will be broken. The ridge axis will shift slightly to the
east on Sunday as an upper level low moves across the Great Basin.
Solutions are still showing some moisture out ahead of the low,
but precip will mostly be limited to the northern Texas Panhandle.
Kept a slight chance of thunderstorms in the far southwestern
Panhandle for Sunday afternoon. The ridge flattens on Monday as
the upper low moves northeast. A few thunderstorms are possible on
Memorial Day, but coverage will generally be limited to our
northern counties. Height falls will lead to slightly cooler
temperatures on Monday and Tuesday, but only by a few degrees.
Ridging is re-established by midweek with temperatures increasing
back above 100. Records may be broken again with forecast highs
close to the records of 103 and 102 on Wednesday and Thursday for
Lubbock. A heat advisory may be needed as well. The next chance
of rain will be over the weekend as the next wave approaches. Both
the ECMWF and GFS are showing some precip Friday night into
Saturday but for now have kept PoPs below 20%.




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