Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 281001
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
501 AM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021

Models show upper level ridge center remaining parked over Kansas
this period. This will result in high confidence for dry and hot
weather conditions persisting. Latest polar orbiting satellites
shows rich low level moisture continuing to stream into Kansas,
which will keep higher humidity levels in place today. The
combination of hot temperatures and the high humidity levels will
create dangerous afternoon heat indices once again for today. This
pattern looks to extend into Thursday and we will keep heat advisory
headlines going. It will be hot again on Friday, however the
humidity looks to be a bit lower across central/south central
Kansas. An extension of the heat headlines could be possible for
southeast Kansas on Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021

Hot above normal temperatures will continue on Saturday across the
region. Meanwhile, a cold front is expected to push southward across
Kansas later in the day. Showers/storms will accompany the frontal
boundary with the better chances on Saturday night. The surface
front looks to push south of Kansas by Saturday night/Sunday
morning, as upper ridge retrogrades to the west from deepening upper
trough across the eastern half of the country. This will bring some
heat relief to Kansas with cooler than normal temperatures likely
for Sunday-Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 455 AM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021

Little aviation concerns over the next 24 hours.

The upper level ridge continues to build over the central plains.
This will allow for clear to mostly clear skies and dry and hot
conditions to dominate the region. Confidence is high for VFR
conditions over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    98  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      98  73  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          98  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        98  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   98  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Russell        101  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend     100  72 101  72 /   0   0   0   0
Salina         101  75 102  74 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       99  73 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     96  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         96  75  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            96  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    96  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...JC


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