Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
146 FXUS66 KHNX 110719 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 1219 AM PDT Sat May 11 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... 1. A warming trend is expected today and Sunday. 2. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. 3. High temperatures will remain well above seasonal values Monday through Friday. 4. A few strong thunderstorms are possible in the Sierra Nevada Sunday afternoon, Monday afternoon, and Tuesday afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... A ridge of high pressure will move eastward across the Golden State today and tonight. An upper-level area of low pressure will meander just off the coast of California Sunday and Monday. This cyclone aloft will make landfall over Southern California Tuesday. The presence of this atmospheric disturbance may provide enough lift for thunderstorm formation overt the Sierra Nevada Sunday afternoon, Monday afternoon, and Tuesday afternoon. A few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes, small hail, and wind gusts near 45 mph. Cyclonic flow aloft will prevail Wednesday and Thursday. A ridge of high pressure will build northward over California Friday. A warming tend is anticipated today and Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, maximum temperatures will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. High temperatures each afternoon Monday through Friday should remain about ten degrees above seasonal values. Here are probabilities of maximum temperatures of 92 degrees or higher for select locations in the San Joaquin Valley on Wednesday, May 15th, 2024: Fresno - 81% Hanford - 76% Lemoore - 76% Delano - 71% Bakersfield - 66% Visalia - 66% Madera - 61% Porterville - 61% Merced - 56% Reedley - 56% && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail across Central California for at least the next 24 hours. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... None. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium. Certainty levels include low, medium, and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Public/Aviation/Fire Weather...BS PIO/DSS........................AS weather.gov/hanford