Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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146
FXUS66 KHNX 110719
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1219 AM PDT Sat May 11 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A warming trend is expected today and Sunday.

2. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures will be around ten
degrees above normal for this time of year.

3. High temperatures will remain well above seasonal values
Monday through Friday.

4. A few strong thunderstorms are possible in the Sierra Nevada
Sunday afternoon, Monday afternoon, and Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure will move eastward across the Golden
State today and tonight. An upper-level area of low pressure
will meander just off the coast of California Sunday and Monday.
This cyclone aloft will make landfall over Southern California
Tuesday. The presence of this atmospheric disturbance may
provide enough lift for thunderstorm formation overt the Sierra
Nevada Sunday afternoon, Monday afternoon, and Tuesday
afternoon. A few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The
primary thunderstorm hazards will be dangerous cloud to ground
lightning strikes, small hail, and wind gusts near 45 mph.

Cyclonic flow aloft will prevail Wednesday and Thursday. A ridge
of high pressure will build northward over California Friday. A
warming tend is anticipated today and Sunday. By Sunday
afternoon, maximum temperatures will be around ten degrees above
normal for this time of year. High temperatures each afternoon
Monday through Friday should remain about ten degrees above
seasonal values. Here are probabilities of maximum temperatures
of 92 degrees or higher for select locations in the San Joaquin
Valley on Wednesday, May 15th, 2024:

Fresno - 81%
Hanford - 76%
Lemoore - 76%
Delano - 71%
Bakersfield - 66%
Visalia - 66%
Madera - 61%
Porterville - 61%
Merced - 56%
Reedley - 56%

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail across Central California for at
least the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low, medium, and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Public/Aviation/Fire Weather...BS
PIO/DSS........................AS

weather.gov/hanford