187
FXUS64 KSHV 101139
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
639 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 218 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

For the first time in what feels like a long time, I present to
you a shorter discussion containing no weather. Now that this
insanely stubborn front has finally moved out of the region, weak
upper-level ridging will move overhead into the weekend. This will
allow for somewhat drier air to filter into the region, keeping
the clouds and rain at bay. Temperatures will also run seasonal
for this time of the year, with highs ranging in the low to
mid-80s, and lows ranging in the mid-50s to low-60s.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 218 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Unfortunately, our quiet pattern quickly comes to an end on
Sunday. This will be the first day of a rather active long-term,
with multiple days of heavy thunderstorm activity anticipated into
next weekend. This wet pattern will be associated with multiple
shortwave troughs moving through the central Plains, with only a
day or two break in-between. The heavy rain will likely be the
talking point over the next week, but severe weather is not out of
the question as well. However, there are still a lot of
uncertainties regarding airmass recovery each day given ongoing
rain, currently limiting severe potential. Pivoting back to the
heavy rainfall, current QPF values are widespread 3-6 inches of
rainfall into next weekend, with locally heavier amounts certainly
possible.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

For the 10/12z TAFS...VFR conditions have return to all sites.
Expect these conditions to prevail through the period with some
scattered to broken cirrus. Winds will be out of the northeast
near 10 mph today, then becoming light and variable by sunset.

/20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  62  83  65 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  83  60  82  64 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  80  55  82  59 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  83  59  83  63 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  81  55  82  61 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  83  61  79  64 /   0   0   0  20
GGG  83  62  80  63 /   0   0   0  20
LFK  85  64  82  64 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...20