021
FXUS63 KICT 201102
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
502 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light snow today with the highest probabilities across south
  central Kansas.

- Cold Weather Advisory for tonight through Tue morning.

- Seasonable temperatures return mid to late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 223 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025

A longwave trough continues to impact the CONUS with very cold air
lingering across the Central Plains. We continue to see support for
a period of light snow across much of the area today. Steep low
level lapse rates are progged this afternoon with some decent lift
through the dendritic snow growth zone supporting a period of
efficient snowfall. Although precipitation amounts are expected to
remain light, high SLRs could bring a few locations close to 2
inches before it wraps up late this afternoon or early this evening
in south central KS.

Arctic high pressure will build southward tonight in the wake of the
light snow event. Strong radiational cooling is anticipated,
especially in areas with fresh snowfall with lows falling into the 5
to 10 below range. Even with light winds, wind chill values will
drop into the the 10 to 20 below range and a Cold Weather Advisory
will be issued for much of the area tonight and Tue morning. Breezy
southerly winds will allow temperatures to moderate on Tue with most
areas seeing highs in the mid and upper 20s.

Wed through the weekend...A clipper system is progged to dig across
the Northern Plains on Wed driving a cold front south over the area
late in the period. This front will keep some cooler air in place
across the area on Thu with highs mostly in the 30s. Rising heights
and increasing thickness will support rising temperatures across the
area on Friday but another frontal passage will arrive on Sat as a
trough deepens across the Central Great Basin area. A wide range of
temperatures is possible on Sat with southeast KS seeing highs in
the 50s while central KS tops out in the 30s. This front may
reinforce seasonable air across the area on Sunday with highs in the
30s/lows in the teens and 20s. The chance for meaningful
precipitation appears low through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 458 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025

Light snow will continue to develop and spread southward across
central and south central Kansas today. A light dusting to
around 1 inch of snow accumulation is expected in most areas
although locally higher amounts may be possible in parts of south
central Kansas. MVFR cigs are expected with snow dropping
visibility under 2 miles at times. VFR will return by mid to
late afternoon in central Kansas and by early evening across
southern Kansas.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 300 PM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

Record Lows Possible the Morning of January 21

Wichita: Forecast: -6 Record: -7 in 1935
Salina: Forecast: -10 Record: -7 in 1935
Russell: Forecast: -8 Record: -8 in 1966

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST
Tuesday for KSZ032-033-047>053-067>069-082-083-091-092.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
CLIMATE...JC