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000
FXUS64 KSJT 062311
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
611 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR for the next 24 hours. Also, gusty southeast winds for
a few hours this evening at the KABI/KSJT sites.

21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 258 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Visible satellite shows sunny skies across the region except for
some scattered cumulus across the Northwest Hill Country and
Northern Edwards Plateau. As of 1 pm, temperatures have risen into
the upper 80s to low 90s, and by the end of this afternoon, expect
highs to reach the mid to upper 90s.

An upper level ridge will continue over the region through Sunday,
resulting in hot and dry weather with mostly clear skies. Lows
tonight look to be in the 68-72 degree range, while highs Sunday
should be similar to today (mid to upper 90s).

SJH

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

Monday looks to be the hottest day of the upcoming week. Tropical
Storm Cristobal will be moving northward into Arkansas Monday
afternoon with the upper ridge axis remaining anchored across
west Texas. Models also strengthen the low level thermal ridge
during the afternoon with 850mb temperatures climbing above 30C
across our western counties. The combination of the ridge and
subsidence around the western side of Cristobal will allow
temperatures to rise into the 100-105+ range especially across the
western half of the forecast area.

Models continue to advertise a cold frontal passage on Tuesday as
a potent shortwave trough ejects eastward across the Central
Plains. This will bump temperatures down compared to Monday but
still looking at highs in the mid 90s to lower 100s.

Upper level ridging spreads eastward across the region Wednesday
and beyond. The latest run of the GFS weakens the ridge and sends
another frontal boundary through the area on Friday. However, the
ECMWF and Canadian both maintain the upper ridge across the
state. Thus, will keep a hot and dry forecast through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  71  96  69  99 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  70  99  69 104 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  69  97  68 101 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  71  95  68  99 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  70  96  69 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       68  97  70 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$