Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 231947
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

...Rain chances continue through Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...Shower chances continue today into Sunday, mainly
across northern lower Michigan as an area of low pressure remains
over the region. There may be an area south of M-55 that receives
excessive rainfall amounts tonight through tomorrow morning. High
pressure will return Monday for a quick break of precipitation
free weather before another system with more widespread rain
arrives Tuesday, producing rain and thunder through Wednesday.



MIZ016-017-019-021>023-240830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    2400, then areas of fog. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1200. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    2400, then areas of fog. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1200. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (150).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-240830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
                    Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.19 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.26 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-240830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2400, then rain showers. Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.65 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.53 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (470).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 2400,
                    then areas of fog. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.36 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1200. Rain showers likely until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.57 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

TL


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