762
FNUS53 KAPX 151846
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...Rain Chances Increase Wednesday/ Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered chances for showers/ storms increase from west to east
Wednesday with increasing coverage Wednesday night into Thursday.
Mixing heights look to increase generally to 3.0 to 4.5 kft
Wednesday, with lowering heights Thursday. South to southeast winds
will gain a more westerly component Wednesday as winds turn
northerly Thursday. Occasional 20 ft gusts 15 to 20 mph will be
possible Wednesday/ Thursday. No RH concerns.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....64-69...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (328).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.59 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.71 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (631).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (361).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.55 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.55 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (624).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-160830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.89 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (595).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-160830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.40- 1.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (537).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
246 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (391).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.53 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Haze until 2400.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.78 in.
Chance of Thunder...45 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (508).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NSC