Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 051854
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...A few afternoon showers and storms possible this week...

.DISCUSSION...Very warm temperatures are expected to continue this
week. Small chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain this
afternoon, and return nearly each afternoon for much of the upcoming
week. However, the combination of very warm temperatures and somewhat
limited low level moisture will help afternoon relative humidity
approach critical levels. Moisture gradually improves toward the
middle of the week. Winds will remain on the light side.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-060830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....90-95...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....91-96...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-060830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....92-97...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-060830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 90...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-060830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 81-86 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 81-86 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-060830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
254 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410).
Mixing Height.......8700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MG


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