Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 051903
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...HOT AND DRY TILL FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry weather is expected most of this week. Each afternoon
there will be scattered hit and miss thunderstorms but they should, for the
most part, be east of a line from Big Rapids to Battle Creek.  A better
chance for widespread thunderstorms comes ahead of the cold front on Friday.
The cooler temperatures will follow the cold front Saturday and Sunday of next weekend.


MIZ037>039-043>045-060830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5900-6400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent near Lake Michigan and 28-33
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......53 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 30
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8400-8900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent near Lake Michigan and 36-41
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7000-7500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-060830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9300-9800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8700-9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.11 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-060830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....89-94.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 31-36
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......50 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 33
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7800-8300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-500 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8200-8700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-060830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8700-9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8800-9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-060830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
303 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9000-9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL increasing to 9400-9900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s.

$$

wdm


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