Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 191931
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...Wet Weather Ahead...

.DISCUSSION...A developing storm system will track into the
Great Lakes area Sunday into Monday. It will bring showers and
thunderstorms into the area later Sunday into Sunday night.
Locally heavy rain is expected Sunday night.

MIZ037>039-043>045-200830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0300.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-300 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2800-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 11 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.47-0.75 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-200830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0300.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 11 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.49-0.65 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0300.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 600-1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900. Showers and thunderstorms likely
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 1200 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.57 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 11 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 15 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1100-1600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.53-0.75 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0300.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 800 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to west around
                    25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.51-0.76 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph becoming northwest around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
331 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0300.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph increasing to south
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.40 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.40-0.76 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds
8 to 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then showers and thunderstorms likely overnight.
Lows in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
60.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$


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