Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 291938
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
238 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020

.DISCUSSION...

An upper low is currently situated just east of the Mississippi
River along the TN/MS border and will continue to track east this
afternoon. In response, latest KNQA radar shows light rain
starting to develop. Rain showers will continue this afternoon
mainly north of I-40. CAMs (Convective Allowing Model solutions)
indicate showers will diminish this evening as the upper low moves
into Middle Tennessee. Behind this system, high pressure will
begin to build into the region. Overnight lows will range from the
upper 30s across the northwest portion of the CWA to mid 40s
across the southeast. Clouds will linger through early Friday.
Temperatures on Friday are expected to be much cooler with highs
in the 50s.

Dry conditions are anticipated through the weekend in response to
high pressure. Temperatures Saturday will warm back up into the
60s. A reinforcing cold front will move through the Mid-South
Saturday night into Sunday morning bringing much colder air behind
it. Lows Sunday night and Monday night will drop into the 30s
with some locations near or below freezing. Confidence for
frost/freeze headlines continues to increase and will continue to
be monitored.

Dry conditions are anticipated for much of the workweek next week
with temperatures gradually starting to warm back into the 60-70
degree range later in the week.

17

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF cycle

IFR conditions and light rain/drizzle will continue through this
evening. Ceilings will rise as weak high pressure begins to build
in overnight. Breezy winds from the southwest will switch from
the northwest at all TAF sites as well this evening. Expect
conditions to improve by the end of the forecast period with a
gradual rise in clouds and diminishing wind speeds from the
northwest.

KRF

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$


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