Hazardous marine condition(s):
Short Term Forecast
GMZ005-122130-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
406 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
Troughing associated with a large and robust low pressure system
will gradually build south across the Florida Keys today. This
will result in a strengthening pressure gradient, allowing winds
to slowly back to the west and northwest and freshen. Small Craft
Exercise Caution headlines and hazards may be required as early
as Friday afternoon and evening. Hazardous winds from this first
front are not expected to last very long, but higher seas may take
more time to subside. Even though winds will briefly slacken
during the weekend, a reinforcing front Sunday night and Monday
morning will bring hazardous marine conditions again, and we may
see an extended period of strong winds and higher seas.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of November 8,
2026...
30 NM south of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
38 NM south of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
46 NM south of Sand Key Light, off Key West
20 NM south of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
15 NM southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
10 NM south of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
8 NM southeast of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
5 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the National Weather Service in
Key West, using data from RTOFS and NASA SPoRT SST.
$$
GMZ033-034-122130- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 406 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026 TODAY Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming west to northwest near 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, building to around 1 foot. Wave Detail: Northwest 1 foot at 2 seconds. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. TONIGHT Northwest to north winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot, building to 1 to 2 feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY Northwest to north winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave Detail: Northwest to north 3 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers. FRIDAY NIGHT North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. SATURDAY North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers. SATURDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. SUNDAY Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots early, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers. SUNDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, building to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. MONDAY Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. MONDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet, building to 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. $$
GMZ033-034-122130- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 406 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026 TODAY Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming west to northwest near 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, building to around 1 foot. Wave Detail: Northwest 1 foot at 2 seconds. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. TONIGHT Northwest to north winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot, building to 1 to 2 feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY Northwest to north winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave Detail: Northwest to north 3 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers. FRIDAY NIGHT North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. SATURDAY North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers. SATURDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. SUNDAY Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots early, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers. SUNDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, building to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. MONDAY Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. MONDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet, building to 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. $$