Hazardous marine condition(s):
Short Term Forecast
GMZ005-131430-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
1029 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
A couple of nearby features will define the weather across the
Florida Keys for the first half of the week. The Atlantic Ridge is
gradually weakening and retreating east towards the central
Atlantic. Another region of high pressure is located over the
Southeast and northern Gulf. Between the two high pressure
centers lies a weak frontal boundary that is extending across
south Florida. The front is forecast to slowly pass across the
Keys waters on Tuesday. This will promote gentle to moderate
northeast to east breezes. There will be slight chances for
showers and a few thunderstorms over the next few days as the
diffuse and weakening front stalls near the Straits of Florida.
Late in the week, a strong cold front could develop and move
towards the Florida Keys. Currently, there are low chances that
the front will make it to the Florida Keys waters. We will
continue monitoring this system.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October
9, 2026...
53 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
33 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
24 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West
19 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
13 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
5 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
2 NM east of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
2 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic
Office.
$$
GMZ033-034-131430- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 1029 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026 OVERNIGHT North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. TUESDAY Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to northeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. TUESDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to northeast 3 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers. WEDNESDAY Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. WEDNESDAY NIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. THURSDAY East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. THURSDAY NIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY East winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. SATURDAY Northeast winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot, building to 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms. $$
GMZ033-034-131430- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 1029 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026 OVERNIGHT North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. TUESDAY Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to northeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. TUESDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to northeast 3 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers. WEDNESDAY Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. WEDNESDAY NIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. THURSDAY East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. THURSDAY NIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY East winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. FRIDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. SATURDAY Northeast winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot, building to 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms. $$