Hazardous marine condition(s):
Short Term Forecast
GMZ005-161415-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
1013 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure aligned across the southeastern United States and
adjacent Atlantic will retreat eastward into the Atlantic over the
next couple of days as a frontal system presses east and
southeastward into the eastern United States. As a result, gentle
to moderate breezes will relax, possibly becoming light and
variable Friday night. The cold front is expected to drive
southward into our Gulf waters Saturday night, resulting in
northeasterly breezes freshening considerably, along with squally
conditions. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be required for
part or all of Keys waters by late weekend. These fresh
northeasterly breezes are then expected to persist through the
duration of the marine forecast.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October
9, 2026...
53 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
33 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
24 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West
19 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
13 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
5 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
2 NM east of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
2 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic
Office.
$$
GMZ033-034-161415- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 1013 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 OVERNIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: East 2 feet at 4 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. FRIDAY East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave Detail: East to southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. FRIDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds near 5 knots. Seas subsiding to 1 foot or less. Wave Detail: Northeast to east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY North to northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, building to 1 to 2 feet late. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY NIGHT North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northeast 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet, building to 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. SUNDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. SUNDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. MONDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. MONDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. TUESDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. TUESDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. $$
GMZ033-034-161415- Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- 1013 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 OVERNIGHT East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: East 2 feet at 4 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. FRIDAY East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave Detail: East to southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. FRIDAY NIGHT Northeast to east winds near 5 knots. Seas subsiding to 1 foot or less. Wave Detail: Northeast to east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY North to northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, building to 1 to 2 feet late. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. SATURDAY NIGHT North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northeast 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet, building to 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. SUNDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. SUNDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. MONDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. MONDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. TUESDAY Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. TUESDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. $$