Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to develop off the southeast U.S. coast tonight and is expected to strengthen and bring flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

57°F

14°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed NW 6 MPH
Barometer 29.93 in (1013.55 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 01:35 AM PDT
Extended Forecast for

Merced CASimilar City Names

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Patchy blowing dust. Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west northwest  in the evening.

    Low: 49 °F

    Patchy
    Blowing Dust

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 67 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then rain between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Low around 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 62. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    High: 62 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of rain after 11pm.  Low around 52. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers then
    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy blowing dust. Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west northwest in the evening.
Columbus Day
A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then rain between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Low around 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 62. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of rain after 11pm. Low around 52. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 66. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CASimilar City Names
 37.3°N 120.49°W (Elev. 174 ft)
12:56 am PDT Oct 11, 2025
1am PDT Oct 11, 2025-6pm PDT Oct 17, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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