Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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433 ACUS01 KWNS 111209 SWODY1 SPC AC 111208 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0708 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Valid 111300Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are possible across portions of Texas centered on the Edwards Plateau. Hail and gusty winds are the primary threats. ...West Central TX... Morning radar/satellite imagery shows a slow-moving MCS over western north TX, tracking slowly southeastward. This activity is associated with a weak upper low and related low-level warm advection over the region. An outflow boundary along the southern flank of this MCS will likely be the focus for afternoon thunderstorm development in a moist and moderately unstable air mass. Storms that form will track southeastward across the SLGT risk area, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and some hail. ...CO/NM... Scattered afternoon high-based thunderstorms are expected to form over the mountains and foothills of northern NM/southern CO. These storms will be in a deeply mixed air mass, capable of locally gusty winds and hail for a few hours before weakening. ...Upper MS Valley... A surface cold front will sweep eastward across the upper MS Valley this afternoon as an upper trough currently over the Dakotas approaches the region. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to form along/ahead of the front during the peak-heating period. The strongest cells may pose a risk of hail and gusty winds. But overall the risk is expected to be rather marginal. ..Hart/Bentley.. 06/11/2024 $$