Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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615 FXUS64 KEPZ 210540 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1140 PM MDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 1221 PM MDT Mon May 20 2024 Warm, very dry, and breezy afternoons will continue each day through the weekend. High temperatures will stay near or just below average. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1221 PM MDT Mon May 20 2024 A shortwave will slide over the Borderland this afternoon and evening allowing for breezy winds this afternoon and high clouds. A pacific cool front associated with this shortwave will push into western areas as early as 6/7PM tonight, exiting the CWA by a bit after midnight tonight. Low end northwesterly breezes possible with the frontal passage. Temperatures will dip only a handful of degrees for Tuesdays high temperatures. Clouds dissolve revealing clearing skies for much of the area Tuesday morning. Breezy winds will persist each afternoon along with dry conditions lasting through the weekend. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through at least the work week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1139 PM MDT Mon May 20 2024 VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period at all terminals. Passing high and mid clouds will shift east and out of the region with skies bcmg SKC by 12Z. A Pacific front has pushed across all terminals with winds shifting to WNW. Winds will drop to 8-10 knots for KDMN, KLRU, and KTCS, but stay breezy and gusty at KELP well into the night at 20G30 knots through 9-10Z..then diminish to 10-10 knots overnight. Tomorrow aft 18Z expect winds to shift back to WSW 240-260 and increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts 25-35 knots. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1221 PM MDT Mon May 20 2024 A pacific cold front will push in from the west early tonight and will progress eastward through the early hours on Tuesday. Winds will shift from the west to the northwest after the frontal passage. Moisture associated with the front will bump up max RHs into the 30-50% range west of the Rio Grande Valley and 20-40% east of the Rio Grande. Tuesday will feature a continuation of critical min RHs and breezy afternoon winds and will persist through at least the work week. Fuels continue to dry and min RHs will stay below critical thresholds through the foreseeable future. Breezy winds are expected to stay below or just below critical thresholds allowing for elevated fire weather conditions to persist each day. Ventilation rates will stay excellent. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 69 94 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 66 88 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 60 92 57 91 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 59 88 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 45 65 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 51 78 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 56 90 51 90 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 54 87 51 87 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 63 91 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 63 91 55 93 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 65 95 59 96 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 62 84 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 64 94 61 94 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 59 90 55 88 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 67 89 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 56 88 52 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 57 90 52 90 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 59 91 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 62 87 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 54 77 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 49 75 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 50 74 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 49 79 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 54 85 52 85 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 53 87 49 88 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 47 79 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 49 82 46 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 51 85 49 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 50 80 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 53 82 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 53 88 50 88 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 55 89 52 88 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 55 89 52 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 54 83 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...15-Brice