163
FNUS53 KGRR 030755
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...Morning Fog Then A Dry Day Until Chance Storm Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Areas of dense fog this morning will quickly evaporate within
a few hours after sunrise as good to excellent mixing occurs
through the day. Scattered patches of clouds expected today
but we will likely stay rain-free until late in the evening
or overnight. Storms from Wisconsin may cross Lake Michigan
late this evening but models suggest they may weaken
overnight somewhere over Lower Michigan. A rogue shower or
thunderstorm may develop on Tuesday but better chances for
showers or storms are expected between Tuesday night and
mid day Wednesday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-032015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.28 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-032015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    10 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-710 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....770-1010 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-032015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....770-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.18 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-032015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-032015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
355 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-970 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Showers
until midday, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 70s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$