Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
468
FNUS52 KILM 271938
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue through
Tuesday with scattered thunderstorms. The approaching cold front
will enhance thunderstorm coverage through this evening. Drier
and slightly cooler air arrives late Tuesday into Wednesday as the
front pushes farther offshore. Temperatures will run at or below
normal for Thursday and Friday with continued dry conditions.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-281145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 70 88 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 94 55 90 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G21 W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 5 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.13 0.08 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0700 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 8000
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 112000
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 32 Fair 69 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 118 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D A F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-281145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 69 89 64 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 45 84 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.16 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0800 1900 72/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 7800
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 124800
ADI Early 63 Good 43 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 69 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 90 Good 5 Very Poor 139 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-281145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 3 2 1 1
Min/Max Temp 69 90 63 88
Max/Min RH (%) 95 40 78 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 W 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 NW 6 Lgt/Var W 7
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0800 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 5 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7900
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 134300
ADI Early 65 Good 46 Gen Good 84 Good 74 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 109 Very Good6 Very Poor 140 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-281145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 60 30 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 69 89 64 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 53 85 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 W 4 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.37 0.05 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 3 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 7600
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75400 106400
ADI Early 61 Good 45 Gen Good 30 Fair 69 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 82 Good 6 Very Poor 122 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-281145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 50 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 4 3 2 1
Min/Max Temp 68 90 63 88
Max/Min RH (%) 95 42 79 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.21 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7600
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 121600
ADI Early 79 Good 47 Gen Good 85 Good 80 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 108 Very Good6 Very Poor 132 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-281145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
338 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 68 90 63 87
Max/Min RH (%) 97 37 79 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 Lgt/Var W 6
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 8000
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 112500 128000
ADI Early 70 Good 51 Gen Good 94 Good 82 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 120 Very Good6 Very Poor 134 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 3 4
Max LVORI Late 7 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
73 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ