Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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397 FXUS64 KLZK 101703 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1203 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday Night) Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Latest observational data show that the sfc CDFNT was situated just to the south of AR early this mrng. Cooler and drier air was sloly advecting into the state fm the north. Predawn temps were in the 50s to arnd 60 in the north, with 60s and 70s elsewhere. Included patchy dense fog for areas near the larger lakes/valleys over north AR this mrng where clouds have cleared out. Widely sctd convection was noted acrs central and southwest AR early this mrng, seemingly assocd with the 850 mb bndry. Kept low PoPs (20%) in the fcst this mrng for the southern half of the FA, with a dcrsg trend as the bndry conts working to the south. Cloud cover wl be slower to decrease fm the north as the day progresses. Otherwise, benign wx conds are on tap for the area thru Tue as NW flow aloft returns and a sfc ridge settles into the Mid-South. A noticeably drier airmass wl also return, with temperatures trending closer to seasonal norms. Highs today and Tue will range fm the upper 70s to the lower 80s, with nighttime lows in the mid 50s to the lower 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 The long term fcst wl be headlined by dry, hot, and relatively settled condns. Cooler temps on Wed wl be on their way out as the post-frntl airmass fm the short term begins to modify. Broad sfc high pressure wl extend across much of Appalachia, w/ the FA residing on the Wrn periphery of greater sfc subsidence. Upper lvl ridging is expected to be in place over the Cont Divide to the Cntrl Plains as well, which should keep chcs for rainfall limited around the FA. Srly sfc flow wl extend acrs much of the Srn Plains, and wl drive incrsg daily high temps, w/ area readings trending towards above- normal thru much of the long term, along with incrsg humidity levels. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 VFR conditions expected through the period with winds variable in direction at less than 7-10 kts. Some localized FG may develop prior to daybreak Tuesday along area rivers/lakes, but should largely be away from terminals. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 57 82 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 62 86 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 55 82 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 62 86 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 62 85 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 62 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 60 85 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 55 81 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 59 82 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 62 84 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 61 85 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 59 83 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 62 83 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....72 AVIATION...67