084
FXUS64 KLZK 121920
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
220 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

19z surface observations once again indicate near normal
temperatures across the forecast area. Scattered CU were forming
over the western half of the forecast area.

During this period, temperatures, and associated heat stress will
climb each day.

Late in the period, MCS activity is expected to form to the
northwest of the forecast area, then move southeast. At this time,
forecast signals indicate that this activity will dissipate before
reaching northern portions of the state.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

H500 ridging will expand northeast over the area from Friday into
the weekend. This will provide well above normal temperatures along
with little to no chance of rain. Even as temperatures are expected
to climb into the mid to upper 90s F across the area Fri-Sun, Td
values will remain below 70 F. While this will lead to uncomfortable
conditions and associated HeatRisk values of 2-3, heat indices may
remain below advisory criteria for most locations through the period.

Conditions will "improve" into early next week as mid-level ridging
moves east of the area. This will provide an increased supply of
tropical moisture and an associated increase in cloud cover and
diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. While Td values will be
higher, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler through the end of
the period.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR conditions, and a light and variable will prevail through the
valid TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     62  91  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         60  92  64  96 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       63  91  67  91 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    63  92  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  65  92  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     61  91  66  94 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      62  92  65  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  63  90  67  92 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        63  91  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     62  90  66  94 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   64  92  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         61  90  66  94 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      63  89  68  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...55