Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 030240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030240
TXZ000-OKZ000-030445-
Mesoscale Discussion 1142
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0940 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024
Areas affected...West-central Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374...378...
Valid 030240Z - 030445Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374, 378
continues.
SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will likely continue for a
couple more hours across parts of west-central Texas. Large hail and
severe wind gusts will be possible. The threat should become more
isolated with time, and new watch issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Widely spaced thunderstorms are currently ongoing
across parts of west-central Texas. One more vigorous supercell is
located to the west of Childress, TX, with other cells southward
across the Low Rolling Plains to near the Rio Grande River. The
airmass along this corridor is strongly unstable, with MLCAPE in the
2500 to 3500 J/kg range. In addition, RAP forecast soundings along
this corridor have moderate deep-layer shear with relatively steep
mid-level lapse rates. The environment will be sufficient for an
isolated severe threat with cells that persist over the next hour or
two. However, instability will begin to weaken across the much of
the southern Plains, suggesting that any severe threat will become
marginal.
..Broyles.. 06/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 29530100 29750017 30429997 32569974 34579986 34560111
32660122 30110143 29530100