Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
271 FNUS73 KMPX 290943 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Numo WMA Rx...Minnesota DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 443 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... For the Numo WMA Rx Burn, conditions will be mostly sunny today with temperatures in the low 60s at ignition time and warming into the low 70s this afternoon. Calm winds this morning will increase out of the SE between 10-15 kts with a occasional gusts near 20kts. Min RH levels will reach the mid 30 percents late this afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Temperature.........62 at ignition...Max 73. RH..................60 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /18900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /83400 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............62 65 67 69 70 72 72 72 73 71 69 64 RH..............60 54 49 44 41 38 37 37 36 39 43 52 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 7 8 9 10 12 10 12 13 13 10 10 20 FT wind gust.9 10 13 14 15 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.9 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.7 6.0 5.9 5.8 4.9 0.5 0.4 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE Transp wind spd.9 9 10 10 12 14 16 16 16 18 16 16 Haines index....4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Temperature.........Min 56. RH..................Max 76 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (81600 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (6300 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 75. RH..................Min 52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (89200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph increasing to 26 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dunleavy Requested by...Area Wildlife Supervisor Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415253.0/MPX .DELDT 05/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cory.netland@state.mn.us