720
FXUS64 KSJT 061932
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Mainly a hot and dry forecast to continue for West Central Texas.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop over western Oklahoma and
the Texas Panhandle late this afternoon and evening. Looks like
most of this activity will remain north of our area, although
cannot rule out a storm or two making it into northwest portions
of the Big Country before dissipating later this evening.
Confidence is fairly low, so will maintain slight POPs across this
area this evening. Also, latest visible satellite imagery shows a
cumulus field developing over the Concho Valley and northern
Edwards Plateau early this afternoon. Latest CAMs show the
potential for isolated development late this afternoon and early
evening. Again, confidence is quite low over this area as well,
but will add an isolated mention through the early evening hours.

Otherwise, expect warm temperatures tonight, with overnight lows
mainly in the low to mid 70s. High pressure will be centered over
the area tomorrow, with hot and dry weather prevailing. Expect
highs tomorrow afternoon ranging from the mid/upper 90s east, to
the low 100s west.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 239 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...Hot and dry through Saturday, then unsettled weather possible
for next week...

High pressure aloft will persist across West Central Texas through
much of the weekend, with hot and dry conditions expected through
Saturday. Afternoon highs are expected to reach into the mid 90s
to near 104, with overnight lows in the 70s through Saturday. A
weak disturbance will track into the area Sunday, bringing
increased cloud cover and chances for some showers and
thunderstorms, as well as resulting in slightly cooler
temperatures. For the start of the workweek next week, models
continue to show the ridge weakening and eventually shifting
south and westward by Tuesday. This will allow the next in a
series of shortwave troughs to track over the area, bringing
cooler but more unsettled conditions to West Central Texas.
Specifically for Monday, a surface cold front will track across
the area Sunday night into Monday bringing afternoon high
temperatures for Monday back into the low 80s to low 90s.
Temperatures will begin to gradually trend back upwards into the
90s by the later half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next
24 hours, with light winds through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  99  75 100 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo  75 101  73 102 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73 101  71 101 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   70  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75 100  76 101 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       74  98  71  97 /  10   0   0   0
Brady       71  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...24