Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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535 FXUS64 KTSA 051710 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1210 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of today ) Issued at 1012 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Cloud cover continues to thin this morning from west to east as surface high pressure builds into the area. A nice afternoon is on tap as drier air filters in along with cooler temperatures. Current afternoon max temps look on track per latest trends and 12z RAOBS. Made a few tweaks to sky cover so will send a zone update to catch any changes. Remaining first period elements will be left as they are. Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 402 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 We will see a short break from the nightly MCS activity we have been seeing recently, but by Friday night, MCS potential will increase again, especially in parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. MCS potential will be greatest across the entire forecast area Saturday night, with a cold front then likely to push across the area Sunday. The passage of this front may result in another break in precipitation chances early next week, but models begin to diverge at this time, and shower and storm chances may return as early as Tuesday of next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 MVFR/VFR cigs across the AR sites will scatter out early in the TAF period. Otherwise, VFR TAF elements will prevail through the period at all sites. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 65 90 63 89 / 0 10 10 10 FSM 63 92 66 90 / 0 10 0 10 MLC 61 91 67 89 / 0 0 10 10 BVO 61 87 58 88 / 0 10 10 10 FYV 60 87 59 88 / 0 10 0 10 BYV 59 86 58 87 / 0 10 0 10 MKO 62 88 64 87 / 0 10 10 10 MIO 61 86 58 86 / 0 0 0 10 F10 62 89 65 87 / 0 10 10 10 HHW 62 91 67 87 / 0 0 10 10 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...23 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...23