Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
194 FNUS53 KAPX 051919 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 ...Scattered showers will continue tonight through Thursday... .DISCUSSION... Low pressure will continue to linger over the Great Lakes region causing multiple rounds of showers tonight and Thursday with a few embedded thunderstorms remaining possible. Only minor amounts of additional rainfall will occur as a general tenth or so of measurable liquid is expected by Thursday evening. Westerly winds will build this Thursday gusting into the upper teens to low 20s for most locations. No concerns for RH`s values as shower continue at times for the remainder of the week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-060815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (39). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.20 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Numerous rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....68-73...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (686). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (123). Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.17 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........57-62 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (551). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.18 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-060815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (39). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.47 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........46-51 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (927). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....48-53. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (145). Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.12 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........50-55 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (694). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-060815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (756). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (101). Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (617). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . $$ MIZ031>033-060815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until 2400, then scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (49). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....65-70. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (980). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (116). Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (726). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-060815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 319 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 2400Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (39). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.32 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....68-73. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1115). Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (130). Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (761). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . $$ .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SJC