455
FXUS66 KOTX 050450
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
950 PM PDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty west winds will gradually subside through the night as a
cold front moves east of our region. The Inland Northwest will get
a break from the wind Wednesday, Thursday and Friday as high
pressure builds over the region. The weekend will be very warm
with afternoon temperatures well into the 80s and 90s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast for the evening has been updated to remove the
showers across the majority of the Inland Northwest earlier than
previously forecast. As of 730 PM the only scattered showers
remaining were over the Cascade Crest and mountainous terrain
around Metaline and along the Idaho/Montana border. West winds
continued to blow between 20 and 30 mph from Ephrata to Moses
Lake to Spokane. Guidance from the latest runs of the NAM and GFS
forecast the decrease of the westerly this evening. There should
be a significant reduction in the wind between 8-11 PM into the 15
to 25 mph range and into the 10 to 15 mph range by sunrise.

The weather Monday and Tuesday delivered some much needed rain to
north Idaho, the eastern third of Washington, and the Cascades.
However, our region paid for it with a couple of very windy days.
The weather Wednesday and Thursday will be quite pleasant with
light winds and lots of sunshine. Wednesday`s high temperatures
will range from the upper 60s in north Idaho to the mid 70s in
central Washington. Thursday`s highs will be about 10 degrees
warmer with mid 70s to mid 80s. Then July temperatures arrive
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday with readings well into the 80s and
90s. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Winds are starting to calm as the area stabilizes
behind the cold front. VFR conditions are expected for the next 24
hours except a brief window for MVFR conditions at KLWS-KCOE in
the morning between 09-14z.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
There is high confidence for VFR condtions through the period. LWS
and KCOE has a 10-20% chance for MVFR Wednesday morning with the
possibility of ceiling less than 3000ft but confidence is very low
of this occurring.

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        42  69  44  79  51  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  43  66  44  76  51  82 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        44  66  44  76  49  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       53  76  52  86  58  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       35  69  39  78  45  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      41  65  42  74  47  81 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        47  65  47  76  54  82 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     43  76  47  85  53  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      45  75  51  83  57  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           41  75  47  82  52  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$