Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
605 FXUS64 KBMX 081754 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1154 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025 - Lows tonight will fall below freezing for nearly all of Central Alabama. - Temperatures into next weekend will again fall to below average, with a period of below freezing nights possible. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Saturday) Issued at 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025 Good news, bad news. The bad news is, today is going to be another cloudy, dreary day given the cool temperatures and low clouds. Thankfully, these clouds will finally mix out by tomorrow morning as dry air begins to filter into the region behind the front. This means sunny skies will finally return to the region, with clear skies expected through the middle of the workweek. With that being said, clouds and rain chances will return by Thursday ahead of the next trough into the weekend. If you remember in my discussion yesterday, I mentioned that the cold weather this weekend will heavily depend on how far south the trough ends up dropping. Even in the last 24 hours, long-range guidance has already backed off on the deep, secondary low that would have pushed this trough well into the region. Now, this is somewhat expected given that we`re still six days out, and this is quite literally an ebb and flow forecast given the nature of low pressures. It`s entirely possible this happens 12 more times the next six days. Super cold one day, more "mild" the next. As such, the temperatures this weekend will certainly be something to keep an eye on, it`s just a matter of "how low can we go?" /44/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025 Low CIGs are expected once more for most of this TAF period, before skies finally begin to clear tomorrow morning. Most terminals will carry MVFR/IFR conditions through the overnight hours, with widespread VFR returning by 09/15z. /44/ && .FIRE WEATHER... MinRH values will continue to run above 40% for most of the next week, with no widespread rainfall chances in the forecast. Even with no rainfall anticipated, fire weather concerns will remain little to non for most of this week given wet fuels. However, by this weekend, fuels may dry back out, and MinRH values may drop back into the 30% range. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 49 24 51 32 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 51 27 53 34 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 49 28 52 36 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 52 28 53 34 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 53 27 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 54 31 53 34 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 54 29 53 32 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 54 29 54 31 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION.../44/ AVIATION.../44/