Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KBMX 261127
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
627 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.UPDATE...
Aviation Discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Central Alabama remains between two upper ridges, one centered
near the 4 corners region and the other just off the Atlantic
seaboard. The relative weakness between the ridges will allow for
scattered convection during the afternoon/evening although we are
close enough to the eastern ridge to limit convection in some of
the eastern counties today and tomorrow.

The Atlantic ridge slowly breaks down late week with the upper
level trough shifting eastward and closer to the forecast area.
This will give at least scattered convection with the highest
POPs across the N/NW portions of Central Alabama, which will be
closer to the approaching upper trough. The upper trough will be
firmly in place across the eastern CONUS over the weekend and
will give above average rain chances Saturday, Sunday and probably
Monday as well.

Temperatures will fall between the 88 to 95 range with the cooler
numbers coming on the cloudier and higher precip days. Still very
muggy with dew points staying in the 70s. Heat indices averaging
between 95 and 100.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

VFR will be the dominate flight condition this morning. Diurnal
convection aided by the sea breeze moving north from the Gulf coast
will begin in the south by 18Z. Convection will spread from south to
north, but coverage is expected to be greatest near MGM, TOI, and
TCL.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the next several days with highs in the 90s. Surface winds will be
rather light and generally from the south to southeast, although
some variability will also exist. Since surface dew points are so
high, critical fire weather thresholds are not expected to be met
with no watches or warnings anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     94  73  91  72  89 /  30  20  40  30  40
Anniston    93  73  90  73  90 /  20  20  40  20  30
Birmingham  94  76  90  74  90 /  20  20  40  30  40
Tuscaloosa  95  74  91  74  91 /  20  30  40  30  40
Calera      93  74  90  73  90 /  20  20  40  20  30
Auburn      93  73  90  73  91 /  30  20  30  20  20
Montgomery  95  75  92  74  94 /  30  20  40  20  30
Troy        92  73  90  73  93 /  40  20  40  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.