Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 191758
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1158 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

LARGE AREA OF RAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST HAS BEEN ERODING AS IT
ENCOUNTERS DRIER AIR OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA. RAIN IS COMING...BUT IT
MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER TO REACH SURFACE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
COUNTIES. REDUCED AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES FOR MOST AREAS...
ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ACROSS EAST ALABAMA. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
SLOWLY TODAY DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ARRIVAL OF LOWER CIGS AND RAIN WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA DUE TO THE DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. MVFR CIGS CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WILL SPREAD EASTWARD AND INTO KMGM
AND KTOI BY 00Z. CIGS WILL LOWER AT KMGM AND KTOI OVERNIGHT AND
LIKELY REACH THE 1000-1500 FOOT RANGE. THERE IS A LOW CONFIDENCE
CIGS COULD FALL BELOW 1000 FEET BUT NOT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THIS
FORECAST. RAIN WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT IN INTENSITY...AND KEPT VSBYS
AOA 3 MILES...WITH THE LOWEST VSBYS AT KMGM AND KTOI. THE RAIN
SHOULD BE EXITING CENTRAL ALABAMA BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     47  38  53  39  52 /  10  90  30  10  20
ANNISTON    50  40  54  41  52 /  20  90  50  10  20
BIRMINGHAM  49  40  55  41  54 /  20  90  30  10  20
TUSCALOOSA  51  40  56  41  55 /  50  90  40  10  20
CALERA      51  41  55  42  54 /  30 100  40  10  20
AUBURN      53  44  55  43  53 /  20  80  70  20  30
MONTGOMERY  56  45  58  45  56 /  60  90  60  20  30
TROY        56  45  57  45  55 /  60  80  60  20  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







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