Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
949 FXUS64 KBRO 131717 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1117 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1111 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 - There is an elevated risk of life-threatening rip currents this weekend into next week. - Above-normal temperatures are expected through the forecast period with breezy south-southeasterly winds. A weak cold front is possible late next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1111 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 High pressure is expected to continue building over Deep South Texas this weekend into next week as an upper level system moves east of the CONUS. This will result in precipitation-free and unseasonably warm weather for our region through at least the middle of next week. Highs are expected to be in the upper 80s/lower 90s. Lows will start out tonight and into the weekend in the low-to-mid 60s, steadily increasing to the upper 60s/lower 70s by the middle of next week as a more humid airmass is advected into the area due to south-southeasterly winds. These winds will gradually increase into the middle of next week as a pressure gradient tightens ahead of an approaching upper-level shortwave, which is expected to move across the Central-Southern Plains around Thursday of next week. This shortwave could bring a weak cold front to our region around the end of next week, which may help lower temperatures a few degrees for next weekend. There is also an elevated risk for life-threatening rip currents at local beaches this weekend, and will continue into next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 VFR conditions are expected at all airports throughout the TAF period. Winds should be light to moderate and southeasterly, and there may be some high clouds. && .MARINE... Issued at 1111 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 SCEC conditions are possible each afternoon through the middle of next week, particularly along portions of the Laguna Madre Bay and the Northern Gulf Waters. By Wednesday Night, the pressure gradient is expected to tighten ahead of an approaching upper level trough, and Small Craft Advisory conditions may be possible. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 85 67 85 68 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 88 61 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 89 64 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 90 61 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 73 80 73 / 0 0 0 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 85 66 84 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55-MM LONG TERM....55-MM AVIATION...55-MM