321
FXUS64 KCRP 121117
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
517 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 515 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

- Fire Danger Statement is in effect this afternoon.

- Gradual warming trend through the weekend.

- Low (20-30%) chances for rain return to the northern Coastal
  Plains and Coastal Bend Sunday through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1138 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Our Fall-like weather will gradually warm back into the 80s and low
90s through this week as high pressure remains in control. By this
weekend, a Pacific cold front will push towards South Texas,
bringing with it a low (20-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
over the northern Coastal Plains and along the Coastal Bend.
Unfortunately, this cold front will not bring much cold or rain.
This one is mostly a wind shift.

A Fire Danger Statement is in effect this afternoon for elevated
fire weather concerns. Moisture will slowly be increasing this week,
which will help limit these concerns beyond today. As always, be
mindful of anything that could cause sparks and ensure you are
following all of your local official guidance if you are burning
outdoors.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 515 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle. Light winds
this morning will become gusty early this afternoon (mainly the
eastern site) before decreasing once again after sunset to
lighter levels.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1138 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) breeze today will persist into the
weekend. Another Small Craft Advisory may be needed again this
weekend as a low pressure system approaches the Southern Plains.
Rain/thunderstorm chances are low (20-30%) over the waters this
weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1138 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across the area today,
especially over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains. A Fire
Danger Statement will be in effect this afternoon as relative
humidity values drop to around 25% and south to southeast winds
reach around 15 mph. Moisture will continue a slow increase through
the week, limiting fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    82  64  84  66 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          82  60  83  61 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            86  62  87  64 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             85  59  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          79  69  80  69 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           86  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        84  61  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       79  70  80  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
     GMZ232-236-237-250-255-270-275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...JCP/84