Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
967 FXUS64 KEWX 050555 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1255 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Above average October warmth continues with minor (10-20%) rain chances early to midweek && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 1247 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025 A quiet but warm weather pattern will remain across South-Central Texas as the region is in-between troughing over the Intermountain west and a weak upper level low off the Louisiana coast that looks to drift northward and weaken into the background flow by early Monday. A slight uptick in the onshore flow and low-level moisture levels on Monday afternoon may be able to help support for the sea breeze to reach portions of our coastal plain counties, which may help generate a few showers. Otherwise, rain chances are to remain minimal with mostly sunny skies through today before skies trend more partly cloudy for areas along and east of I-35 on Monday. The temperatures stay above average with the afternoon highs ranging from the mid to upper 80s for portions of the Hill Country to the low to mid 90s elsewhere. The morning lows will range from the low 60s to near 70 degrees. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1247 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025 Sub-tropcial ridging builds across the northern Gulf through early week and slides westward atop the state later during the week and towards the start of next weekend. Tuesday and Wednesday continues to be the primary window for some spotty showers, perhaps a stray storm, as PWATs increase up into the 50 to 75 percentile range for this time of year. With that said, these chances are rather small with the majority remaining rain free. Some of this activity could be generated with some help from a rather diffuse frontal boundary drifting into the Waco area. Otherwise, there could be some high clouds coming from the Eastern Pacific as well. Rain chances are to then dwindle beyond Wednesday with the increasing subsidence from the ridge positioning more atop of the region. The above average temperatures will remain persistent but nights do become a tad more humid. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025 VFR flight conditions should continue. A region of low clouds may establish between San Antonio and the Rio Grande near or shortly after sunrise. Some low clouds may bleed over to the terminals but no impacts are expected at this time. Otherwise, there may be a few high clouds passing at times. The winds trend the lightest through the early morning hours, otherwise expect for winds of around 10 kts or less from the east to east-southeast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 93 70 93 71 / 0 0 10 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 94 68 93 69 / 0 0 10 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 93 68 92 69 / 0 0 10 10 Burnet Muni Airport 89 67 89 68 / 0 0 10 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 93 70 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 91 67 91 68 / 0 0 10 10 Hondo Muni Airport 92 68 92 69 / 0 0 10 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 94 68 93 68 / 0 0 10 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 93 69 93 70 / 0 0 20 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 92 70 92 71 / 0 0 10 10 Stinson Muni Airport 94 71 94 72 / 0 0 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...62 LONG TERM....62 AVIATION...62