469
FXUS62 KFFC 022345
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
645 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

  - Shower coverage will peak this evening in north Georgia, with
    a couple of isolated thunderstorms also possible, before
    ending from west to east after midnight

  - Rainfall totals through Monday morning will primarily remain less
    than a quarter to half inch.

  - Gradual warming trend through the week into the 70s for highs
    across north and central Georgia.

  - Trending towards the possibility of some rain over the
    upcoming weekend, though uncertainty remains high.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

An upper low currently situated over central Tennessee will continue
to progress quickly southeastward through tonight, bringing
increasing shower coverage as it does so. The bulk of the more
widespread shower activity will push across north Georgia from late
evening through around midnight with coverage quickly diminishing
from west to east by the predawn hours Monday. Lapse rates will be
sufficient that an isolated embedded thunderstorm or two will be
possible through the evening, but primarily shower activity is
expected. Rainfall totals will remain largely a quarter inch or
less, though locally higher totals in the realm of a half inch are
possible.

Skies will clear fairly quickly Monday morning as high pressure
builds eastward into the area with mostly sunny skies through the
day. With widespread clouds persisting through sunrise, low
temperatures should be held primarily into the 40s with a few upper
30s, keeping frost concerns at bay. Despite the sun, high
temperatures on Monday will largely run a few degrees below normal,
mainly in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

System bringing rain to parts of the forecast area today and tonight
will have completely exited the southeast by Tuesday. In its wake
will be a surface high that slides right over the region for a day
or two us an upper level anticyclonic rossby wave break washes over
the area. Temperatures will warm as the air mass modifies. Expect
daily highs in the 70s through the end of the week outside the
mountains, warmer in central Georgia than north Georgia, with a few
80s creeping into south central Georgia by the end of the week.

Looking aloft again, a quick clipper type system will move across
the northeastern US on Wednesday but will remain too far north to
have any impacts to the CWA. Moisture return looks limited and the
front attached to the system is expected to mostly stall and wash
out before reaching the area. Friday into Saturday is starting to
look a bit more interesting. DProg/Dt trends within the ensemble
guidance show a clear move towards a more amplified trough within
the southern stream of a bifurcated jet over the eastern CONUS. In
simple terms, models are showing increased probability of seeing a
system that could bring rainfall into north and central Georgia.
Still plenty of uncertainty with this in both timing and strength,
so we`ll need to wait and see how model trends continue to play out
over the coming days, but know that the coming weekend could have at
least a wet time period in it. This also may bring increases in
surface moisture that bring overnight lows up into the 50s from the
expected 40s across much the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

-SHRA will come to an end around 04Z. MVFR is expected overnight but
should start to improve back towards VFR after 06Z with SKC finally
returning to the airspace after 14Z. Winds will stay on the NW side,
though a few obs of due North are possible.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          42  65  40  68 /  30   0   0   0
Atlanta         43  63  44  68 /  60   0   0   0
Blairsville     36  58  35  66 /  60   0   0   0
Cartersville    41  63  39  70 /  40   0   0   0
Columbus        42  68  43  73 /  20   0   0   0
Gainesville     42  65  42  67 /  60   0   0   0
Macon           43  68  41  72 /  40  10   0   0
Rome            43  66  41  72 /  20   0   0   0
Peachtree City  41  65  41  70 /  50   0   0   0
Vidalia         46  70  43  73 /  10  20   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Vaughn