892
FXUS65 KFGZ 070501
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1001 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions and warming daytime temperatures
well into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Arizona will be entrenched in a dry northwest flow
over the coming week. High pressure aloft, currently located well off
the southern California coast, will gradually approach Arizona
over the coming days becoming established over California by next
Saturday or Sunday. This is a classic dry/mild late fall pattern
which will result in warming daytime temperatures through
Wednesday or Thursday before plateauing. High temperatures are
expected to climb 10 to 15 degrees above average by Wednesday.
Otherwise, daytime breezes will be light from a northwesterly
direction with a few periods of high clouds as weak passing
disturbances brush Arizona. Another feature of note, with dry
conditions and mainly clear skies strong nighttime radiational
cooling will result in local drainage breezes of 10 to 20 mph
south of the Mogollon Rim.

At this time there is no breakdown in this pattern in site.

&&

.AVIATION...Sunday 07/06Z through Monday 08/06Z...VFR conditions
forecast through the period. Variable winds generally 10 kts or
less expected.

OUTLOOK...Monday 08/06Z through Wednesday 10/06Z...VFR conditions
expected. Look for light and variable winds throughout much of the
period, but localized breezy NE winds overnight likely downwind of
terrain.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Dry conditions with temperatures
warming 5-10 degrees above seasonal averages. Winds light and
variable around 10 mph or less both days. Min RH`s between 25-40%
each day.

Tuesday through Thursday...Dry conditions with temperatures 10-15
degrees above average Tuesday and 15-20 degrees above average
Wednesday and Thursday. Winds light and variable around 10 mph or
less each day. Min RH`s ranging from 20-35% each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...McCollum
AVIATION...Konieczny
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff