Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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653
FXUS63 KGID 011140
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
640 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Elevated fire weather conditions are expected Sunday afternoon
  mainly from Dawson County south to Furnas County with a
  combination of low humidity and gusty winds.

- No precipitation is expected today after sunrise through
  Friday.

- Temperatures will be the coolest today with highs in the mid
  40s to low 50s. Warmer temperatures are expected tomorrow with
  highs in the low 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 407 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Today through tonight...

A big upper trough is over the eastern 2/3rds of the country with an
upper low centered over Iowa. Winds across south central and central
Nebraska and north central Kansas are out of the northwest and
temperatures are mostly in the 30s. Enhanced upper lift is over the
area due to the upper trough. There are some very light radar echoes
moving over the area. While most of the echoes are too light for any
precipitation to reach the ground, some sprinkles or flurries may
fall to the ground with the heavier echoes. Precipitation chances
are less than 15%. Any remaining precipitation is expected to be
finished by sunrise today. A surface high will be just to the east
of the area with high temperatures today only in the mid 40s to low
50s. Winds will become southerly tonight with temperatures dropping
into the mid 20s to low 30s.

Sunday through Monday night...

The upper trough will be to the east of the region on Sunday. A
surface trough will be present from eastern New Mexico to western
and central Nebraska. This surface trough will result in gusty south
to west winds across south central and central Nebraska and north
central Kansas Sunday afternoon. This will contribute to
temperatures warming up into the low 60s to mid 70s on Sunday.
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected Sunday afternoon
mainly from Dawson County south to Furnas County where relative
humidity values will get down to around 25% to 21%. However, this
area will receive the weakest winds with wind gusts up to 15 to 20
mph. Winds will increase further east with higher humidity values
present. The surface trough will move over the area before a cold
front arrives Sunday night. Low temperatures Sunday night are
expected to be in the mid 30s to low 40s. The surface high will
quickly move eastward on Monday with winds becoming east to
southeast. High temperatures on Monday will range from the upper 50s
to mid 60s. Low temperatures Monday night will be similar to the
previous night.

Tuesday through Friday...

A weak upper trough will begin to move over the northern and central
Plains on Tuesday with a surface trough positioned over the southern
portion of the forecast area. Temperatures on Tuesday will warm up
from the previous day with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s. A cold
front will begin to move into the area Tuesday night with low
temperatures in the mid 30s to mid 40s. A surface high pressure
will be centered to the north of the area early in the day on
Wednesday but will quickly move to the east. High temperatures
on Wednesday are expected to be in the low to mid 60s. Southerly
winds will return to the area Wednesday night with low
temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s. An upper trough will
move over the region on Thursday with an accompanying surface
trough moving over south central and central Nebraska and north
central Kansas. This will contribute to temperatures warming up
into the mid 60s to low 70s on Thursday. Winds will shift
towards the northwest Thursday night with low temperatures in
the mid 30s to mid 40s. High temperatures on Friday will be a
little cooler than those on Thursday as a surface high impacts
the area.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Low VFR to MVFR ceilings are moving into the area and will
impact KGRI shortly. There is less confidence if KEAR will be
impacted. Low ceilings should clear out of the area by 18z.
Northwest winds will turn to the south by 00z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt