117
FXUS61 KGYX 051111 CCA
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected synopsis.
National Weather Service Gray ME
711 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Deep layer ridging will bring warm and dry conditions with record
highs in jeopardy most days through Tuesday. A cold front will cross
the region Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing a period of rain to
the region. High pressure builds in from the west behind the front
with cooler and drier air moving in for the second half of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Warm, mostly sunny skies and near record high temperatures are
expected today in a regime of deep layer ridging.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Aside from some valley fog tonight, we are looking at another
relatively warm night along with near record highs in the 80s on
Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Well above average temperatures will persist one more day on Tuesday
with near record high temperatures possible once again. A strong
cold front and trough of low pressure will then cross from north to
south Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, bringing our best chance
for widespread measurable rainfall. Rain looks to end quickly on
Wednesday morning but some lingering showers will be possible,
especially across the north and mountains. Sharply colder
temperatures can be expected with daytime highs around 15-20 degrees
cooler than those of Tuesday. Even colder air arrives for Thursday
with highs only into the 50s to lower 60s from north to south.
Widespread frost/freeze conditions are then likely Thursday night
with lows near or below freezing in many locations, especially away
from the immediate coastline and urban centers. A slight moderating
trend is then likely through the remainder of the week and weekend
but daytime highs will only warm to around seasonable averages.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term...Similar VFR conditions will continue through
Monday. VFR during the day with fog possible late tonight into
early Sunday morning and again Sunday night at LEB and HIE. RKD
may see marine fog Sunday night, but confidence is low on this
at the moment.

Long Term...Other than perhaps some valley FG at mainly KLEB/KHIE
on Monday night, VFR will be common through the day on Tuesday with
S-SW flow. A cold front will bring RA to all sites Tuesday night-
Wednesday morning along with lower ceilings and restrictions.
Conditions improve later Wednesday with NW flow, although MVFR
restrictions may linger at KHIE with upslope flow. Mainly VFR
conditions are then likely through the remainder of the week.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...SCA conditions are not expected through Sunday night.
Southerly flow this afternoon will become more light and variable
tonight and early Sunday. Prevailing south to southwest flow then
takes over Sunday afternoon through Sunday night with high pressure
centered to the south and east of the waters. Gusts may approach
SCA levels Mon afternoon.

Long Term...Southwesterly wind gusts may approach 30 kts Monday
night and Tuesday ahead of a cold front before becoming
northwesterly on Wednesday behind the front with gusts remaining
around 25-30 kts. Seas of 1-3 ft can be expected in the bays
with 4-6 ft across the outer waters. Winds and seas then will
likely lower through the remainder of the week as high pressure
builds over the waters.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Temperatures will be high enough to possibly challenge records
the next few days as an anomalously strong 580+dam ridge builds
over the area by Monday. Here are some of the records to watch.

                Oct 5       Oct 6       Oct 7
Concord        86(1926)    84(1990)    90(1963)
Manchester     86(2007)    82(2007)    82(2005)
Portland       81(1946)    84(1947)    84(1947)
Augusta        80(2007)    78(1963)    83(1990)

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Schroeter/Tubbs