606
FXUS64 KHUN 101113
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
513 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 513 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

 - A Freeze Warning is in effect through 10 AM this morning for
   all of north Alabama.

 - Near record or record cold temperatures are forecast early this
   morning and again tonight into early Tuesday.

 - Wind chill values will drop into the teens to lower 20s tonight and
   Tuesday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Sky cover is dissipating and clearing early this morning as gusty
NW winds continue to advect in a cold, dry air mass into the
region. We`re hitting our first freeze of the autumn season as
temperatures are dropping into the upper 20s to lower 30s in most
locations as of 09z. We are eventually anticipating lows in the
mid 20s will be common just before sunrise -- though temperatures
are trending just a little warmer, thanks to mixing from the
winds. It will feel downright cold as you head out the door, with
wind chills in the Teens in most locations. Make sure to bundle up
in layers as you head out the door this morning. A Freeze Warning
remains in effect until 10 AM CST.

Winds will become gusty at times out of the NW thanks to this
tight pressure gradient as the upper-low pulls away from the
Tennessee Valley and may gust to 20-30 MPH at times late this
morning and this afternoon. It will be a very cold day (for mid-
November) across the region, as highs will struggle to climb above
the upper 30s to lower 40s. The combination of this cold and the
gusty winds will make it tough for wind chill values to climb
above the freezing mark. All in all a very raw November day
indeed.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The coldest temperatures since late February will arrive Monday
night and as winds finally begin to subside, the risk for a hard
freeze increases. Lows will fall to the upper teens/lower 20s in
what could be record breaking cold for early/mid November. Please
remember to bundle up as well as drip faucets/cover pipes. Upper
ridging will begin to nudge east from the central Plains on
Tuesday and will begin a subtle warming trend as we head through
the mid-week period. With high pressure anchored to our south, we
will remain in a dry airmass and therefore no rain is forecast
through Wednesday. Highs will climb into the 50s on Tuesday then
warm into the 60s on Wednesday, so good news for those dreading
the cold this early in the season.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

On Thursday, a trough will still be over the far Northeast and
Quebec while a ridge will be over the Rockies as a trough swings into
the West Coast. Closer to home, a cold front associated with a
clipper system in the Great Lakes will slip down into the TN Valley.
This will not bring much of a chance in temp, nor any precip, but we
will see that northerly wind shift. Daytime highs are expected to
reach the mid to upper 60s on Thursday. Temperatures will climb even
higher Friday and Saturday, into the lower 70s, as the ridge axis
reaches the OH and TN Valleys by Saturday. Our next chance of rain
could return as early as late Saturday night into Sunday as that
previously mentioned trough out west now digs into the Plains and
Midwest.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 513 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Gusty NW winds between 20-25 kts will continue today in wake of a
strong low pressure system. SCT/BKN decks of low-end VFR cloud
cover at KHSV will quickly dissipate later this morning, but gusty
winds will presist through the afternoon before gradually
weakening after sunset. Under a mostly clear sky, VFR conditions
will prevail through the remainder of the period.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 919 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Record cold temperatures are possible on the 10th through the
11th.

November 10:

Huntsville - Low maximum - 43 (1950) Low minimum 20 (1913)
Muscle Shoals - Low maximum - 43 (1950) Low minimum 24 (1933)

November 11:

Huntsville - Low maximum - 38 (1968) Low minimum 22 (1926)
Muscle Shoals - Low maximum - 39 (1894) Low minimum 19 (1913)

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Freeze Warning until 10 AM CST this morning for ALZ001>010-016.

TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...AMP.24