121
FXUS64 KJAN 011046
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
546 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Mostly dry weather with seasonably warm days and mild nights
   can be expected into the weekend.

 - Better chances for rain return Sunday through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Today through next Tuesday...At the surface, high pressure along the
east coast will remain wedged into the forecast area.  Aloft, weak
ridging will attempt to slide east deeper into the region.  However,
it`ll eventually break down allowing low pressure to build into the
Lower Mississippi River Valley come the weekend, but weakening over
the region early next week.

Overall, quiet weather will persist across the forecast area
throughout the forecast period.  Slightly above normal warmth will
be felt each afternoon over the next couple of days.  Come Friday
and into the weekend, afternoon highs will be more in line with
normals for this time of year as drier air advects east into the
region. Conditions will then warm early next week as moisture subtly
creeps back into the region.

Rain chances will remain scarce across the CWA and mainly in the
form of a stray shower or two each afternoon.  Over the weekend and
into early next week, the increased presence of the aforementioned
mid/upper low will yield some better rain chances across the
forecast area.  Still, with the isolated to scattered nature of
convection, much of the area will remain dry.  With this ongoing
long duration stretch of below normal rainfall, we will be
monitoring for any increased fire weather concerns in this dry
weather pattern. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

VFR conditions prevail under scattered to broken mid to high level
clouds and light north northeasterly winds. A brief shower cannot
be ruled out this afternoon at HBG and PIB. Clouds will gradually
lessen overnight tonight. /SAS/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       90  67  88  64 /  10  10   0   0
Meridian      89  63  87  60 /  10   0   0   0
Vicksburg     91  68  90  65 /   0  10  10   0
Hattiesburg   91  65  90  62 /  20  10  10   0
Natchez       91  68  90  65 /   0  10  10   0
Greenville    91  67  90  63 /  10  10  10   0
Greenwood     91  66  89  63 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

19/19/SAS20