109
FXUS64 KJAN 261909
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
109 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Much cooler and drier air will surge into the area today and
    continue the remainder of Thanksgiving Week.

  - Rain chances return this weekend with a few isolated storms.

  - Freezing temperatures possible again next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 109 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Tonight through Friday...

Dry and quiet weather conditions will persist across the southeast
CONUS tonight as the dry cold front continues to propagate east
towards the Gulf. Sky conditions will be generally clear across the
area with several areas north of I-20 seeing clouds build from the
north. Overnight lows will plummet into the low/mid 30s areawide. A
1028-1032mb sfc high from the Central Plains will propagate
southeastward towards the Gulf Coast on Thursday leading to another
day of sunny skies. Expect afternoon highs to peak in the mid/upper
50s. Thursday night/early Friday morning still looks to be the
coldest night of the period with nighttime lows dropping into the
upper 20s/low 30s. Dry conditions will persist heading into Friday
thanks to the sfc high with daytime highs peaking in the 50s across
our area. /CR/

Saturday through mid next week...

Rain chances return this weekend with a shortwave rounding the base
of the longer wave trough. While a few isolated thunderstorms are
possible, severe chances look pretty slim as the trajectories to
recover from a very cold dry airmass are not ideal. Moisture remains
very suppressed to the south. Another surface high will propagate
towards the region in the wake of this cold front and will bring a
return of cold low temperatures. However, this round looks more like
a glancing blow, with freezing temps most likely in the north early
to mid next week.

Some guidance is beginning to show that a few areas across northwest
MS could see a slight chance of wintry precip early next week.
Forecast confidence at this time is low, however its currently more
likely then not that winter precipitation stays north of our area.
/CR/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

VFR conditions and north winds are expected to prevail at the TAF
sites through the period. Wind gusts up to around 20 kts will be
possible through 22Z, diminishing thereafter. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       37  57  33  56 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      34  57  30  54 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     35  57  33  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   37  62  34  60 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       37  59  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    37  53  34  52 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     34  54  31  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

CR/CR/LP