380
FXUS62 KJAX 190556
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1256 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Foggy Mornings Through the End of the Week. This morning -
  Potentially Areas of Dense Fog along the I-95 & Highway 301.

- Extended Dry Spell Continues this Week.  Be very cautious with
  outdoor flames check for local burning bans. Severe to Extreme
  Drought Inland Southeast GA & Northern Suwannee Valley

&&

.NEAR TERM...(through Tonight)...

High pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to extend its
ridge axis southwestward across the SE US through tonight. The
influx of low level moisture (PWATs 0.8-1 in.) across coastal
locations earlier will promote fog development across much of the
area through sunrise. Patchy dense fog has already begun to
develop across the I-95 corridor south of Jacksonville. Fog is
anticipated to advect north and west through the night with the
best chances for dense fog along the I-95 and HWY 301 corridors.
After the fog dissipates, a warm and sunny day with light westerly
winds is in store. Prevailing subsidence and clear skies will
allow for above seasonable to near record high temperatures this
afternoon ranging in the upper 70s along the coast to the low-mid
80s inland. Another round of fog will be possible late tonight
into early Thursday morning. With the warm, moist westerly flow,
fog will likely advect in from the Gulf into the Suwannee Valley.
Overnight lows will be in the 50s to around 60.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Thursday through Friday night)...

Quiet weather with foggy mornings are expected under the
influence of high pressure over the area. Patchy to areas of fog
are expected, with a combination of both radiation Thursday
morning and advective fog Friday morning.

As high pressure shifts offshore, warm and moist southerly flow
may lead to fuzzy or even patchy sea fog Friday afternoon and
night. Otherwise, dry and near-record warmth is expected with
highs pushing into the mid 80s each afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)...

Southwesterly flow will continue as a weak, slow-moving cold
front approaches from the northwest and pushes through the
forecast area Saturday night through Sunday. This could set up
some advective fog ahead of it with moisture pooling ahead of it.
Unfortunately, without much dynamic forcing and strong convergence
along the boundary, minimal, if any, rainfall is expected with
the front passage. Progressive ridging will be to the north,
shifting eastward, early next week resulting in an onshore flow
and potential weak coastal troughing. Above normal warmth will
continue through the weekend, threatening daily records. Morning
episodes of fog is expected and there could be another low chance
of sea fog next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

Fog has begun to develop across SGJ, VQQ and CRG tonight. IFR/LIFR
fog is anticipated to advect north and west through the night
across all TAF sites. Fog/stratus should lift and dissipate by 14Z
with SGJ likely clearing by 12Z. Westerly winds around 5 knots
develop after 14Z. Another round of fog will be possible early
Thursday morning.

&&

.MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory conditions with strong northeasterly winds
and elevated seas will persist across the coastal waters through
the upcoming weekend and into next week, along with occasional
wind gusts to Gale Force. Strong high pressure will wedge down the
southeastern seaboard today. Coastal troughing will sharpen over
our local waters late this week, generating increasing chances for
showers and embedded thunderstorms. Winds will shift to easterly
by Friday and the weekend as high pressure shifts offshore of the
Mid- Atlantic states.

Rip currents: Rip current risk will be low in the offshore flow
through the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry, warm weather and increasing humidity trends continue amid
the ongoing drought through the weekend. Not any significant fire
weather "watch outs" are expected over the next few days. Our main
concern will be morning fog, which could be locally dense, and
poor afternoon dispersions due to minimal surface and transport
winds. Breezy southwesterly winds will start to increase with
gusts up to 15 mph on Friday as a weak cold front slowly
approaches from the northwest. That front will pass through
Saturday night and Sunday with minimal showers if any at all.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

Record High Temperatures For Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), Alma, GA
(KAMG), and Craig Airfield (KCRG) through the Rest of The Week:

Today, November 19:
KJAX: 84/1958
KAMG: 82/1942
KCRG: 82/1984

Thursday, November 20:
KJAX: 86/1988
KGNV: 88/1906
KAMG: 83/1942

Friday, November 21:
KJAX: 84/1991
KGNV: 86/1973
KAMG: 83/2011
KCRG: 82/2004

Saturday, November 22:
KJAX: 84/1973
KGNV: 86/1906
KAMG: 83/2011
KCRG: 81/1997

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  82  56  83  56 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  78  60  78  61 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  83  56  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  80  58  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  84  54  86  55 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  83  54  84  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$