Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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686
FXUS62 KKEY 160312
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1012 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Light to gentle breezes will continue through the rest of the weekend.

-Dry air will limit shower development through early next week.

-High temperatures will warm to near 80F for much of the work
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 927 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
We could copy in the discussion from last night, but we decided we
will type out a new one! Conditions along the island chain are
calm again with current temperatures near 70, and dew points in
the lower 60s. Our noteworthy cold spot is Big Pine Key where the
temperature observations reads 62F! GOES-19 IR imagery shows some
low cloud cover to the south and east of the island chain, but
most island communities have clear skies directly overhead. The
00Z KKEY sounding from this evening still shows a significant
amount of dry air in the vertical profile. The low level relative
humidity was calculated to be 54%, and the mid level was 15%. With
virtually no chance of rain, and light breezes expected to
continue, no changes or updates are needed this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 927 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the
Florida Keys local waters. From synopsis, high pressure centered
over the Southeast U.S. will continue to move southward throughout
the rest of the weekend. This will promote light to gentle
breezes. Due to the weak flow, there may be a period of light and
variable breezes Sunday through Monday, mainly in the afternoons.
Another high pressure system will traverse across the eastern
United States early next week while slowly strengthening. This
will allow for freshening northeast to east breezes for the middle
and latter part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 927 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period at both island
terminals. Surface winds out of the northeast to east will be
variable at times, and any instances of a cross wind will be light
and short lived. Weather conditions will remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  78  70  78  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marathon  77  68  77  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...DP
Aviation/Nowcasts....DP
Data Acquisition.....MC

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