Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
835 FXUS62 KKEY 071544 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1044 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... -A series of high pressure systems docking in the central North Atlantic will support a gradual slackening trend in northeast to east breezes through the weekend and mainly dry conditions. -Seasonal King Tides will likely support bouts of minor coastal flooding around the times of high tide through the weekend. A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for the Lower and Middle Keys. -Confidence continues to increase that a significant cold front will blast through the Florida Keys on Monday, ushering much cooler and windy conditions for early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1044 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 A surface high pressure that was along the Eastern Seaboard is inching eastward across the North Atlantic. This has resulted in the Florida Keys being caught between features and we have been placed into a col region. East of the Seven Mile Bridge winds are from the northeast to east, while for the other half of our CWA, we have winds out of the east to southeast. Speeds are generally 10 knots or less at our marine platforms. Meanwhile, a remnant upper level low that has been hanging out across the Gulf Basin continues to stream in overhead a mid deck of clouds. KBYX radar continue to show that no precipitation is reaching the island chain but to the west out by the Dry Tortugas has been a different story. Where we have moisture, lift, veering, and mid level support, we have seen on and off thunderstorms across these waters. Changes made were to scale back PoPs for the island chain today, while still keeping Key West and the Lower Keys as having the "best" chance this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1044 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 High pressure will continue to slide eastward across the central North Atlantic. This will result breezes slackening this afternoon and continue into the upcoming weekend. Periods of variable conditions are possible. A potent cold front will push through the Florida Keys marine zones on Monday, with fresh to strong northerlies expected in its wake for early next week. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1044 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 VFR conditions will continue through the afternoon and evening for both island terminals. Showers west of the EYW terminal may trend eastward over time and could on occasion pass over the terminal. However, confidence has lessened and will keep mentions of VCSH for EYW, but will take out of MTH for now. Otherwise, light northeast to east winds will prevail at MTH while winds will tend to be east to southeast at EYW. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 81 76 85 75 / 50 40 20 10 Marathon 80 76 84 75 / 40 30 20 10 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...LIW Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW Data Acquisition.....LIW Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest