Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
980 FXUS62 KKEY 140924 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 424 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... -Moderate breezes will gradually slacken to light to gentle over the weekend. -Temperatures will return to near normal as high pressure weakens and stretches eastward into the Atlantic. -Dry air will limit shower development through Saturday night. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 424 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025 Another nice early morning is occurring for the Florida Keys. KBYX continues to show a lack of shower activity, while Nighttime Microphysics imagery indicates predominantly mostly clear skies with a mid level cloud deck in the Straits. Temperatures across the Keys are currently near 70F. Along the Reef observations are northeasterly at near 15 knots. A slackening of wind speeds is anticipated later this morning, therefore Small Craft should exercise caution until winds decrease headlines remain in effect for the Straits of Florida. Stable and dry air will keep our rain chances for the day near nil. For the remainder of the forecast period, high pressure will continue to dominate the local weather conditions. While this cooler, breezier northeasterly flow has been the main story, as the high gradually starts to extend eastward and weakens, winds will ease and temperatures will return to more typical of this time of year. An upper level ridge over the southeastern US will maintain a stable environment and suppress a majority of shower development, though as the ridge starts to wobble and winds become more easterly, some moisture will creep in allowing us to reintroduce a slight chance of rain late this weekend to early next week. && .MARINE... Issued at 424 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, moderate breezes will gradually slacken to light to gentle over the weekend, while high pressure across the Southeast U.S. will gradually move across or just north of the Florida Keys. This feature will also weaken such that the coastal waters surrounding the Keys, or at least portions, will slacken further becoming light and variable Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure will then lift northward and gradually strengthen, allowing for a slow freshening of breezes. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 424 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail at both terminals through the TAF period. Latest satellite imagery shows a mid level cloud deck over the southern Straits. This cloud deck hasn`t shown much movement to the north. Therefore, we keep some high level clouds with some potential lowering during the day. Near surface winds are expected to remain north to northeast between 5 to 12 knots with occasional gusts of 15 to 20 knots during the daylight hours. && .CLIMATE... On this day in 1932, the daily record low temperature of 56F was recorded in Key West. Temperature records for Key West date back to 1872. Also, in 1963, the daily record low temperature of 53F was recorded in Marathon. Temperature records for Marathon date back to 1950. OF NOTE In 1937, the "1935 Hurricane monument" was dedicated in Islamorada. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....MJV Data Acquisition.....MJV Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest