Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
275 FXUS62 KKEY 071514 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1114 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1114 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A pretty busy morning is occurring for the Florida Keys with KBYX radar detecting widely scattered showers all over the coastal waters. While a majority of shower activity has remained over water, the island chain has seen brief heavy downpours in various locations. This morning`s 12z sounding has once again measured over 2 inches of precipitable water meaning we remain in a very wet environment. Temperatures along the island chain are in the mid 80s, with winds across the Reef observed at 5 to 10 knots. For the rest of the day, showers and thunderstorms will continue to move through our area, therefore, the 60% PoPs in the forecast are appropriate. Winds will continue to be mostly east at 5 to 10 knots before increasing to near 10 knots later this afternoon into the evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 1114 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, a combination of a stationary frontal boundary and a weak area of low pressure still situated near the Bahamas will make for a messy weather pattern through the next several days. This will maintain above normal rain chances through the entire forecast period. The lax gradient will help to keep winds near gentle to moderate, but direction will fluctuate between the northeast and southeast at times. At this time, the strongest breezes look to stay confined to the northern portions of our deep Gulf waters, but we will continue to monitor model forecast trends. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Showers continue to move through the coastal waters and will occasionally pass over the island chain, therefore, VCSH is included at both terminals. If direct impacts are expected TEMPOs will be included. Near surface winds are east to southeast at 5 to 10 knots. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for FLZ076>078. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest