Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FXUS62 KKEY 141730
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1230 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION, PREV DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Moderate breezes will gradually slacken to light to gentle over
 the weekend.

-Temperatures will return to near normal as high pressure weakens
 and stretches eastward into the Atlantic.

-Dry air will limit shower development through Saturday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
VFR conditions will prevail across the island terminals, with nil
rain chances. Near-surface northeasterly breezes will
occasionally gust to 15 to 18 knots early, mainly at EYW, before
gradually slackening after 00z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1125 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution Until Winds Decrease headlines
are posted for the marine zones south of the Island Chain. From
synopsis, moderate breezes will gradually slacken to light to
gentle over the weekend, while high pressure across the Southeast
U.S. will gradually move across or just north of the Florida
Keys. This feature will also weaken such that the coastal waters
surrounding the Keys, or at least portions, will slacken further
becoming light and variable Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure
will then lift northward and gradually strengthen, allowing for a
slow freshening of breezes.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 424 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
High pressure will continue to dominate the local weather
conditions. While this cooler, breezier northeasterly flow has
been the main story, as the high gradually starts to extend
eastward and weakens, winds will ease and temperatures will return
to more typical of this time of year. An upper level ridge over
the southeastern US will maintain a stable environment and
suppress a majority of shower development, though as the ridge
starts to wobble and winds become more easterly, some moisture
will creep in allowing us to reintroduce a slight chance of rain
late this weekend to early next week.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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