Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
183 FXUS64 KLUB 091747 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1147 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1140 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 - Cooler and breezy on Wednesday behind an early day cold front. - Dry and unseasonably warm weather is expected Thursday through Saturday. - Cooler conditions return by early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1140 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 The general synoptic pattern will change very little through the short term period as broad upper troughing persists over the eastern CONUS and modest riding aloft continues over the Pacific coast. Temperatures this afternoon will warm well above normal for December across the region with west winds a bit blustery as a fairly broad surface trough axis deepens over the central plains, but otherwise benign weather persists. Tonight, a quick-moving disturbance will pass over the Midwest, which will in turn drive a dry cold front southward through the region early Wednesday morning. After a relatively mild overnight period, this will bring a cooler and breezier day for Wednesday, though highs will still rebound into the upper 50s to near 60 which is about normal for this time of year. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1140 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Well-above average temperatures will return Thursday with rising upper heights and southwesterly winds in the wake of a cold front. Highs should reach the 70s for many locations under mostly sunny skies. Another weak cold front will move trough the area overnight into Friday, with winds switching back to NE. However, with the absence of a notable upper trough, highs will only fall at most around 5 degrees from Thursday. The persistent forecast will continue for Saturday, with widespread highs again in the 70s. A stronger surface cold front will track across the region overnight into Sunday ahead of an upper trough. This is expected to drop temperatures as much as 20 degrees across portions of the area along with bringing increased cloud cover. Above-average highs look to return next week, however precipitation confidence remains low with an upper disturbance potentially at some point moving near the CWA. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 VFR will prevail through this TAF period. Westerly breezes will continue through this afternoon before weakening slightly overnight. A cold front will then bring a shift to stronger north-northeasterly winds just before sunrise on Wednesday which will continue through the end of this TAF period. Some gusts to 30 kt are likely on Wednesday. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...30