003
FXUS64 KLZK 100511 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1111 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - Some fog or freezing fog will be possible through the morning
   hours.

 - Increasing SW winds and warmer temperatures expected today.

 - A couple of cold fronts will move through this week with a
   stronger one bringing much colder temperatures for the weekend.

 - Mostly dry conditions are expected, but some light rain
   is possible on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Low clouds remain in place across portions of eastern and southern
Arkansas this morning with mostly clear sky conditions and cold
temperatures elsewhere. Will have to monitor the potential for
freezing fog development across portions of western, central and
southern Arkansas through daybreak.

Sfc ridging will drift E/SE away from the state today and SW winds
will increase as this happens. This will lead to increasing
temperatures across the state both today and tonight. 24 hr
temp differences during this timeframe could be nearly 20 degrees
F in some cases, quite a noticeable warmup for some.

A cold front will move through on Wednesday which will temper the
warmup expected across the state somewhat. NW winds will increase
and the warmest readings are expected across southern AR. The
warmup will commence once again for the Thu-Fri timeframe as the
low level flow remains out of the SW. Another weak front will
move through on Friday after peak heating, with cooler
temperatures expected for the Friday night timeframe.

The main change will take place from Saturday into Sunday as yet
another cold front will move through, but this one will lead the
charge of an Arctic airmass. Much colder air will spill in with
highs on Sunday likely limited to the 30s F for much of the
state. Overnight lows in the 20s F will be fairly widespread as
well.

While the state will be impacted by the cold air, the center of
the sfc ridge associated with the cold airmass will remain
northeast of the state. This will lead to the coldest air being
well NE of Arkansas by hundreds of miles. Also, this will lead to
a pretty good temperature spread from northeast to southwest
across the state this weekend into early next week.

There remains very little signal for any moisture through the
period. The main change over the past 24 hours is that there could
be some showers on Saturday, with some low POPs included with this
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period. But, a cold front
will move from NW to SE across the state on Wednesday which will
bring increasing winds in its wake. Winds behind the front will
become NW and will be in the 10-17 kt range with gusts to around
25 kt expected. By Wednesday evening, winds will become much
lighter.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     46  33  56  33 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         47  32  61  32 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       59  35  51  32 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    45  33  58  34 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  44  33  58  34 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     49  34  61  35 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      52  34  60  34 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  59  34  53  31 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        44  41  56  34 /   0  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     45  32  60  33 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   54  32  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         44  30  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      44  35  58  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...67
AVIATION...67