Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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291 FXUS64 KLZK 072333 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 533 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 250 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 + Areas of fog, locally dense, are expected to persist this morning across a large potion of the state. + A cold front will move across the state today with another frontal passage Thursday. Temperatures will cool behind these boundaries but warm up in between them + Little if any precipitation if expected over the next week other than a small chances of showers today over the south. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 250 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 Widespread low clouds and patchy fog have developed across the majority of the forecast area this morning. Surface observations and traffic cameras confirm where the fog had developed, it is dense and producing very low visibilities. With conditions likely to not improve the remainder of tonight, the dense fog advisory will be left in place. Upper level pattern this morning features broad troughing covering most of the country with the exception of the California coast where ridging is start to build in. This pattern is bringing a broad NW flow to the region and will help drive a cold front through the state early this morning. Front will move through with little if any fanfare except for a wind shift and a slight chance of showers over the far south. No measurable precipitation is expected from this FROPA but guidance finally starts to scour out this persistent cloud cover with a return to sunshine just in time to start the new work week Monday. High temperatures today will climb into the mid 40s to mid 50s but will steady out or drop a little bit over the north as another shot of colder air follows the front for Monday. This cool down will be brief as surface high pressure moving across the region will bring a return to low level southerly flow and warmer temperatures. Highs on Tuesday will be back in the 50s area wide with much of the state climbing back into the 60s on Wednesday. Pattern becomes highly amplified by the end of the week as strong ridging develops along the west coast with significant troughing over the eastern third of the country. This in turn will drive another dry cold front through Thursday afternoon and evening. With the increase in cloud cover with this boundary and winds going back to the north after its passage, temperatures on Thursday will be knocked back down somewhat. High pressure will then drop down out of Canada and settle over the area next weekend. Saturday will be the coolest day with high temps only topping out in the mid 30s to lower 40s but warmer readings will return Sunday as the high slips to the east of the state. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 A cdfrnt was recently analyzed moving thru SErn AR via sfc obs, w/ Nrly winds over the FA. Mixed condns were noted acrs the FA at the 00Z TAF issuance, w/ most terminals under MVFR/VFR CIGs, and some isolated IFR CIGs. Expect at least MVFR CIGs to prevail at most terminals thru the overnight PD, w/ intermittent IFR CIGs possible. Light rain was ongoing acrs Srn AR, and wl mainly impact Srn terminals b/w 08/00Z to 08/06Z. Reduced VISBYs and some patchy fog may arise behind this light rain overnight, but confidence remains low to medium attm. Otherwise, cloud cover is expected to diminish in covg fm W to E during the day Mon, w/ condns improving to VFR levels thereafter. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 31 45 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 35 49 30 57 / 20 0 0 0 Harrison AR 28 45 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 32 50 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 35 47 32 56 / 20 0 0 0 Monticello AR 38 48 31 56 / 50 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 31 52 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 27 44 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 34 45 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 36 47 30 56 / 20 0 0 0 Russellville AR 32 50 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 33 46 29 55 / 20 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 36 46 31 55 / 20 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...72