810
FXUS64 KLZK 030653
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1253 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1227 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

 - A brief warmup today before a cold front moves through by
   tonight.

 - Cooler temperatures expected on Thursday with precip most
   likely across southern Arkansas through Thursday night.

 - There is a low chance for a brief period of winter weather
   Thursday.

 - Dry conditions and slightly warmer temperatures expected for
   the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1227 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Early morning satellite imagery shows an extensive area of stratus
across much of the SE US, including much of eastern Arkansas. This
will have an impact on overnight lows in these areas, while clear
sky conditions elsewhere will allow temperatures to be quite
cool. Additionally, some FG development may be possible across
portions of western and northern Arkansas. With temperatures below
freezing in these areas, any fog would be freezing fog. Will
monitor trends through daybreak in case a dense fog advisory is
necessary.

By this afternoon, temperatures are expected to be a bit warmer as
sfc ridging shifts east of the area and southerly winds are
briefly noted. This will be short lived as a cold front is
expected to move through from later this evening through tonight
which will usher in much cooler temperatures for Thursday.

In the mid-level flow aloft a weak H500 disturbance will move from
the SW US Wednesday evening to just east of Arkansas early Tuesday
morning. A corresponding sfc low will move east along the Gulf
coast with precip spreading north into Arkansas. Precip is most
likely across southern AR Thursday into Thursday night. There
remains a limited threat for a brief period of freezing rain or
light sleet along the northern edge of the precip.

Mostly dry conditions are expected through the end of the period
with slightly warmer temperatures into early next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Low clouds persist across eastern portions of the state and are
providing MVFR conditions. Elsewhere, clear skies will persist and
there could be some FG development through daybreak. VFR
conditions are expected by 03/18z. Winds will remain light through
the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     46  29  40  25 /   0   0   0  30
Camden AR         52  36  44  32 /   0  40  30  50
Harrison AR       49  26  38  26 /   0   0   0  20
Hot Springs AR    49  33  42  29 /   0  10  20  40
Little Rock   AR  48  34  40  30 /   0  10  10  40
Monticello AR     51  37  45  34 /   0  50  40  60
Mount Ida AR      52  33  43  28 /   0  10  10  30
Mountain Home AR  47  26  38  24 /   0   0   0  20
Newport AR        44  31  38  27 /   0   0   0  30
Pine Bluff AR     49  34  42  31 /   0  20  30  50
Russellville AR   50  33  43  29 /   0   0  10  30
Searcy AR         46  30  40  27 /   0  10  10  30
Stuttgart AR      46  34  40  30 /   0  10  20  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67