Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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056
FXUS64 KLZK 051702
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1102 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - A cold morning is expected across much of the state, with
   readings in the 20s for many areas.

 - Fairly calm weather conditions expected in the coming days.

 - Little to no precipitation in the forecast through the next 7
   days.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Thursday`s system continues to make progress well east of the area
with sfc ridging building over the area. While some clouds will
continue to stream over the area, very cold air will spill south
leading to lows in the 20s across much of the northern half of the
state. Some localized FG/FZFG could develop through sunrise across
some of the areas where clear sky conditions are seen and where
precip occurred on Thursday.

A slight warmup is expected across the state through Sunday before
a H500 trough moves through the W/NW mid-level flow aloft. At the
sfc, this will lead to a cold front moving across the state on
Sunday. Limited moisture will lead to practically no chance of
precipitation with the passage of this system. While it`ll be
pretty cold from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, this
cooldown will be pretty short-lived.

Sfc ridging will shift E/SE of the area by Tuesday with low level
S/SW flow bringing warmer temperatures back for the end of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1102 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Expect a mixture of MVFR and VFR CIGS across all terminals to begin
the forecast period. CIGS will intermittently improve to VFR flight
category with a return to CIGS lowering to as low as IFR flight
category across the sites of KHOT and KADF early Saturday morning
just after midnight. A tad later into Saturday morning before
sunrise, VSBY is expected to lower to LIFR category at times across
the sites of KHOT, KADF, and KHRO which has been represented by
TEMPO groups. All sites will return to VFR flight category later
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     30  53  37  53 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         32  55  41  57 /   0   0  10  10
Harrison AR       31  53  36  46 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    30  54  38  55 /   0   0  10   0
Little Rock   AR  32  53  40  56 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     35  55  43  59 /   0   0  10  20
Mount Ida AR      30  55  38  54 /   0   0  10   0
Mountain Home AR  30  53  36  48 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        30  50  37  53 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     31  53  40  56 /   0   0  10  20
Russellville AR   32  55  37  54 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         29  53  35  55 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      32  52  40  54 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74