242
FXUS64 KLZK 071142 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
542 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

-Mainly dry conditions for the next several days

-Coldest air of the season expected by Sun Night/Mon morning,
resulting in most areas seeing sub-freezing conditions

-Wind chills dropping into the low/mid teens Sun night for some
 locations mainly in the higher terrain of the Ozarks

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Fairly mild conditions are ongoing across the region early this Fri
morning...with temps across the Natural State in the 50s and 60s for
most areas. To the NW of the state...a new cold front was pushing SE
across KS...which will push SE into AR by this Fri afternoon. As
this front pushes into the state...moisture levels will remain
limited enough that precip chances will remain low for most areas.
If some precip were to be seen...the best POPs will be NE of the
CWA...though some very isolated SHRA could be seen across NERN
portions of the CWA this afternoon along the front.

NW winds will be seen briefly behind this front tonight into Sat
morning...but winds will switch back from the south briefly during
the daytime hrs on Sat. However...a much stronger cold front will
surge SE through the region Sat night into Sun morning. This front
will bring much colder air to the region...with likely the coldest
temps of the season so far expected across AR by Mon morning. In
fact...lows by Mon morning should drop below freezing for most areas
of the CWA. Wind chills will also be notable...though remaining
above any adv level criteria. Wind chills Sun Night/Mon morning will
dip into the low/mid teens across some of the higher terrain of the
Ozarks. Highs on Mon will struggle to warm out of the 40s for most
areas...with some higher elevations seeing highs in the upper 30s.

Expect moderating temps starting Tue as SRLY SFC flow returns as SFC
high pressure shifts east. Highs by late next week should warm back
into the 60s...potentially back into the 70s for some areas. No
significant rain chances are expected over the next week as deep
moisture levels will remain limited.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Recent nighttime sat imgry and sfc obs indicated lower cloud
covg/MVFR CIGs acrs the Srn half of AR, while mainly high clouds
and VFR condns were prevailing acrs Nrn AR. Some patchy fog was
also noted acrs the FA, expect fog and VISBYs to improve b/w
14-15Z later this mrng, w/ MVFR CIGs also improving to VFR levels
by the aftn hours. Otherwise, variable winds are expected around
the FA as a weak cdfrnt washes over Nrn AR, w/ NWrly winds at Nrn
terminals, and Wrly winds at Cntrl to Srn terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     77  48  75  44 /  10   0   0  10
Camden AR         76  54  79  48 /   0   0   0  10
Harrison AR       72  46  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    76  51  76  47 /   0   0  10   0
Little Rock   AR  75  51  76  48 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     77  56  80  50 /  10   0  10  10
Mount Ida AR      78  48  78  45 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  75  45  73  40 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        77  49  75  46 /  10   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     75  54  78  48 /  10   0  10  10
Russellville AR   78  47  77  46 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         76  48  76  45 /  10   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      74  52  76  47 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...72