Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 101123
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
623 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 620 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
- Mostly dry and seasonable weather for the remainder of the
week.
- The risk of rip currents will remain high for the Palm Beaches
today.
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
A weak frontal boundary remains stalled across the Florida Straits
early this morning, with ample cloud coverage still associated with
the front overspreading the CWA. Northerly winds behind the
front have ushered much drier air over the region, which will help
inhibit rainfall chances today, but the cloudy conditions will
persist until the early afternoon. Conditions will gradually clear
up, and temperatures will warm up a little compared to Tuesday,
with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.
A reinforcing dry front is forecast to sweep south across the area
late tonight into Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front
over the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air
across the region. Temperatures will also drop as a result, with
lows tonight dropping to the low 50s over the interior and the low
60s over the East Coast, and further down on Thursday night to the
low-mid 40s across the interior and mid-upper 50s across the East
Coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
A weak frontal boundary remains stalled across the Florida Straits
early this morning, with ample cloud coverage still associated with
the front overspreading the CWA. Northerly winds behind the
front have ushered much drier air over the region, which will help
inhibit rainfall chances today, but the cloudy conditions will
persist until the early afternoon. Conditions will gradually clear
up, and temperatures will warm up a little compared to Tuesday,
with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.
A reinforcing dry front is forecast to sweep south across the area
late tonight into Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front
over the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air
across the region. Temperatures will also drop as a result, with
lows tonight dropping to the low 50s over the interior and the low
60s over the East Coast, and further down on Thursday night to the
low-mid 40s across the interior and mid-upper 50s across the East
Coast.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
High pressure will build behind the aforementioned frontal passage
late this week, keeping conditions dry and seasonable. Confidence
in the forecast begins to decrease late in the weekend and into
next week. Some ensemble members hint at a developing upper-level
disturbance over the Gulf that could slide eastward over the
peninsula, potentially injecting moisture along the column and
leading to a slight uptick in rain chances. While uncertainty
remains regarding timing and intensity, went with the prevailing
NBM guidance for the end of the period, with PoPs in the 20-30%
range.
Expect a gradual warming trend through the weekend, with highs each
day in the mid to upper 70s, gradually rising to the lower 80s; and
lows in the mid 50s over the interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
MVFR CIGs linger this morning for some terminals this morning, but
this is expected to lift in the next few hours for all terminals.
Winds will first increase out of the NW today around 5 kts and
become more W/WNW late this afternoon and evening. No SHRA is
expected in the area today.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
Moderate northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail across the
local waters over the next couple of days while a frontal boundary
lingers over the FL straits. Seas will range from 3-5 ft each day. A
few thunderstorms could be likely over the Atlantic waters today,
with locally higher winds and seas possible.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
A high risk of rip currents will prevail for Palm Beach county
beaches today as a northeasterly swell develops along the
coastline.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 80 58 75 58 / 10 0 0 0
West Kendall 82 55 77 54 / 10 0 0 0
Opa-Locka 82 57 77 57 / 10 0 0 0
Homestead 82 58 77 57 / 10 0 0 0
Fort Lauderdale 79 57 74 58 / 10 0 0 0
N Ft Lauderdale 79 57 74 58 / 10 0 0 0
Pembroke Pines 82 57 76 57 / 10 0 0 0
West Palm Beach 79 55 74 55 / 10 0 0 0
Boca Raton 81 56 76 56 / 10 0 0 0
Naples 77 60 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...Redman