416
FXUS62 KMFL 102218
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
518 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 502 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

  - Mostly dry and seasonable weather for the remainder of the
    week.

  - The risk of rip currents will remain high for the Palm Beaches
    today.


.UPDATE...
Issued at 237 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

Abundant sunshine was the story earlier this morning as drier air
moved in across the region. Satellite imagery now depicts a
bubbling layer of cumulus across South Florida although conditions
should remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny for the rest of the
day. Per the 18Z MFL sounding,there is still enough low level
moisture to support maybe a sprinkle or two across the area
through the remainder of the day. No significant forecast changes
with this update.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

A weak frontal boundary remains stalled across the Florida Straits
early this morning, with ample cloud coverage still associated with
the front overspreading the CWA.  Northerly winds behind the
front have ushered much drier air over the region, which will help
inhibit rainfall chances today, but the cloudy conditions will
persist until the early afternoon. Conditions will gradually clear
up, and temperatures will warm up a little compared to Tuesday,
with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.

A reinforcing dry front is forecast to sweep south across the area
late tonight into Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front
over the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air
across the region. Temperatures will also drop as a result, with
lows tonight dropping to the low 50s over the interior and the low
60s over the East Coast, and further down on Thursday night to the
low-mid 40s across the interior and mid-upper 50s across the East
Coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

A weak frontal boundary remains stalled across the Florida Straits
early this morning, with ample cloud coverage still associated with
the front overspreading the CWA.  Northerly winds behind the
front have ushered much drier air over the region, which will help
inhibit rainfall chances today, but the cloudy conditions will
persist until the early afternoon. Conditions will gradually clear
up, and temperatures will warm up a little compared to Tuesday,
with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.

A reinforcing dry front is forecast to sweep south across the area
late tonight into Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front
over the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air
across the region. Temperatures will also drop as a result, with
lows tonight dropping to the low 50s over the interior and the low
60s over the East Coast, and further down on Thursday night to the
low-mid 40s across the interior and mid-upper 50s across the East
Coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

High pressure will build behind the aforementioned frontal passage
late this week, keeping conditions dry and seasonable. Confidence
in the forecast begins to decrease late in the weekend and into
next week. Some ensemble members hint at a developing upper-level
disturbance over the Gulf that could slide eastward over the
peninsula, potentially injecting moisture along the column and
leading to a slight uptick in rain chances. While uncertainty
remains regarding timing and intensity, went with the prevailing
NBM guidance for the end of the period, with PoPs in the 20-30%
range.

Expect a gradual warming trend through the weekend, with highs each
day in the mid to upper 70s, gradually rising to the lower 80s; and
lows in the mid 50s over the interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 502 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR prevails through the period. Northwesterly flow is expected to
continue overnight and through Thursday afternoon with light and
variable flow expected Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

Moderate northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail across the
local waters over the next couple of days while a frontal boundary
lingers over the FL straits. Seas will range from 3-5 ft each day. A
few thunderstorms could be likely over the Atlantic waters today,
with locally higher winds and seas possible.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 145 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

A high risk of rip currents will prevail for Palm Beach county
beaches today as a northeasterly swell develops along the
coastline.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            58  76  58  78 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     55  77  54  79 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        58  76  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        58  77  58  78 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  57  74  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  57  74  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   56  76  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  56  73  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       56  76  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           58  76  54  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...99