152
FXUS64 KMOB 071759
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1159 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1149 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

  - Patchy fog is possible across our interior-most counties in
    south Alabama and south Mississippi over the next few hours,
    especially north of Highway 84.

  - Additional rounds of light to moderate rain will occur today
    across coastal counties in Alabama/Florida and south-central
    Alabama, generally east of I-65.

  - A strong cold front sweeps across the area Sunday night into
    early Monday, which will lead to gusty winds area-wide on
    Monday. Temperatures fall below freezing for locations
    generally north of I-10 by sunrise on Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

We have somewhat of a break in the rain at this hour as the band of
rain showers remains anchored over the Gulf at the moment. While
the rain may have briefly stopped, our attention turns to the
potential for fog over the next few hours. Probabilistic guidance
continues to indicate that our far interior counties in south
Alabama/Mississippi, mainly north of the Highway 84 corridor, have
the best chance for dense fog. While there are currently no
observations of 1/4 mile or less, we can see the fog settling into
northern Clarke County (AL) via webcams. The probabilistic
guidance indicates that the fog should be short-lived and will
shift further north and northwest of our area by 4-5am. For now,
we are holding off on an advisory, but will continue to monitor
observations, satellite imagery, and webcams.

The rain shield should begin to build back into the area by 9-10am
as a subtle mid-level impulse slides through the area. The best
chances for rain reside across our coastal counties and parts of
south-central Alabama, generally east of I-65. We will likely see
another brief period where we dry out in the early evening hours
before one last shot for showers ahead of the cold front. A potent
cold front will sweep across the area overnight Sunday into early
Monday. In the wake of the front, temperatures will fall into the
40s across much of the area (low 50s at the beaches) by sunrise on
Monday. Highs on both Monday will struggle to get into the mid to
upper 50s with breezy conditions throughout the day. Overnight low
temperatures will plunge into the upper 20s to low 30s north of I-10
with mid to upper 30s near the coastline by sunrise on Tuesday.
Locations north of Highway 84 can expect around 5 hours of below
freezing temperatures early Tuesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday will generally be transition days with mild
temperatures and a dry forecast. Another potent front will likely
pivot into the area late in the week with the potential for even
colder temperatures in its wake. We could see a few nights with
temperatures in the 20s for most of the area (hovering around
freezing at the beaches) if this pattern pans out.

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through Friday in the
current pattern. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

LIFR to IFR ceilings will persist through the day and into the
overnight as rain slowly departs to the east. Another batch of
rain will arrive around midnight tonight as a cold front moves
through leading to temporary MVFR visbys with continued LIFR cigs.
Light easterly winds will become northerly behind the front and
increase tomorrow morning as ceilings slowly raise to IFR and
then MVFR by noon tomorrow. BB-8

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Showers will persist through early Monday morning ahead of a strong
cold front. Northerly winds will increase to advisory levels on
Monday with conditions subsiding by Monday night. Another round of
strong northerly winds are expected by next weekend. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      49  58  34  58 /  70   0   0   0
Pensacola   52  59  39  57 /  70  10   0   0
Destin      53  61  41  58 /  70  10   0   0
Evergreen   44  58  29  59 /  70   0   0   0
Waynesboro  44  55  29  57 /  70   0   0   0
Camden      42  54  28  55 /  70   0   0   0
Crestview   48  59  32  58 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Monday to midnight CST Monday
     night for GMZ630>632-650-655-670-675.

&&

$$